World Bank Document

Table 1: Selected Economic Indicators and Baseline Projections for 2016-18  

 In percent change, unless otherwise indicated

 

2013

2014

2015p

2016* 2017* 2018*

GDP, at constant market prices 

8.0

8.1

8.0

7.3 

7.2 

7.2

      Private Consumption 

4.8

5.8

‐0.5

‐0.3 

3.5 

5.0

      Government Consumption 

5.9

9.9

8.4

3.1 

2.0 

2.9

      Gross Fixed Capital Investment 

10.7

9.6

9.5

9.3 

9.4 

10.0

      Exports, Goods, and Services 

8.3

‐5.1

‐5.3

‐2.8 

0.2 

2.6

      Imports, Goods, and Services 

5.9

‐4.1

‐13.4

‐6.9 

‐5.3 

1.1

GDP, at constant factor prices  

9.4

8.0

9.0

7.5 

7.2 

7.2

      Agriculture 

6.8

6.9

6.8

6.6 

6.5 

6.5

      Industry 

6.0

5.7

5.8

4.5 

4.0 

4.2

      Services 

12.0

9.3

11.1

8.9 

8.4 

8.4

Inflation (Household Consumption Deflator) 

10.2

10

10

9.0 

8.0 

8.0

Inflation (Consumer Price Index, official) 

6.8

6.1

5.6

5.5 

… 

…

Current Account Balance, % of GDP 

2.9

1.7

0.9

0.8 

0.9 

1.0

Fiscal Balance, % of GDP 

2.5

2.0

0.4

0.3 

0.6 

0.7

Source: Government of Uzbekistan National Statistics and World Bank staff calculations for 2013-15, and World Bank 

forecasts for 2016-18.     

Notes: p-preliminary or expected growth of GDP, investment, export, import, agriculture, industry, and the current 

account balance figures are official preliminary estimates, the rest is Bank staff calculations); * -The years 2016-18 are 

projections based on official primary figures for the base year (2015).  

 

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7 

 

 

Poverty and Shared Prosperity  

 

13. 

According to official data, poverty has declined steadily from 26 percent in 2005 to