Chapter 7- Gap
Gap is simply a blank space between prices on the chart. It can be caused by news, urgency or the
overnight sessions. There are many kinds of Gaps on the chart, breakaway gap; runaway gap;
exhaustion gap and common gaps. The names are irrelevant, the relationship between the gap and
price action matters the most.
I always consider gap as one big bar and trade accordingly.
For example,
if it's a big gap down, I
consider it as one big red candle. The reaction after the gap down matters to me the most. If the
opening bar is bearish, it means sellers want to continue the down trend, look for signs of failure of
sellers. If it's bullish, it means price might halt for a pullback or reversing, possibly close the gap. If
it's a Doji, that means sellers and buyers are going to fight at this level, a possible range. Look for the
clear sign of breakout and trade in that direction.
There is an old saying: "gap will always be filled".
Well, it could take minutes or days to close
some gaps. Waiting for gaps to fill can takes a lot of time. Gap fill strategies often are unproductive.
What’s important about these open gaps is that they are "unfinished business ", waiting to be
closed.
This creates opportunities for great setups. Often some old gaps are the targets to hunt for in
the present.
Gap levels are strong support/resistance levels. Watch for the opening 30 minutes, there are usually
clues whether the gap will be closed or not. Also watch for the reaction after the gap is closed,
reversals are quite frequent. But sometimes the gap is small, price will fill the gap quickly and
continue. Think in this way, if there is a huge gap down, buyers have to climb all the way from bottom
to the top to close it. This trip can be exhausting.
The moment price finally reached the top, what do you think buyers will do? Yes, take their profit.
They have been working all day to fill this gap! As they are exiting, price will halt and potentially
reverse. Always on alert for any failures after the gap is closed, wait for confirmation!
When bull or bear is very strong, orders are getting filled so quickly, there would be a small gap
between bars. 1 tick gap are frequent. It's a sign of strength. But always check the context. If it
happens at the top/bottom after a protracted move, it could be a possible trap, be careful. When the
day starts without any gap, followed by Dojis, sometimes it's a sign for potential Range day. Not
always.
The relationship between Gap and prior day price action has an important impact on current day
market. For example, if prior day ends in Range, today market open with no gap. It's possible that
Range is going to continue. So fade the extremes of the failed breakouts. If prior day was a strong
uptrend day, but today market opens a gap down, then expect a possible gap fill and trend continuation
because that gap down has finished the job of deep pullback. Buyers will see that as a "good price", a
great opportunity to resume the trend. If the market was trending up yesterday, today it opens with gap
higher. Expect retracement because the buyers are going to take some profits off. Anyway, don't
assume what's going to happen. Always for confirmation of failures before you enter.
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