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Russian stability key to Korean stability
DPJ 99 [Democratic Party of Japan, June, http://www.dpj.or.jp/english/policy/security.html]
Russia, a former superpower, is currently faced with domestic economic difficulties. Russia's involvement in the Asia-Pacific region is therefore likely to remain limited in the meantime. If the Russian domestic situation deteriorates any further, it could even become a cause of instability in the international community. However, Russia is obviously an important actor in regard to the Korean Peninsula issue. Despite the Northern Territories Issue, Japan should contribute to increased Russian stability through further economic and private sector exchange.
Russian Instability Turns Chinese Stability
Russian stability precludes Chinese nuclear capacity that nuclear attack on the US
DeLay 99 [Tom, US Representative, The Washington Times, February 4, Lexis ]
Chinese nuclear capability is growing in size, range and sophistication and Russian instability is a worsening danger. China increased the number of long-range missiles it has aimed at the United States by 44 percent last year while Russia still has over 6,000 operational warheads. Have those opposed to national missile defense forgotten about the real danger facing America today? In 1995, Russia almost launched an accidental strike against the United States and a high level Chinese military official threatened in 1996 to hit Los Angeles. The bipartisan Rumsfeld Commission has also determined that our intelligence services may have little or no warning before other nations realize nuclear capability. The best way to win a nuclear war is to make sure it never happens. A strong message is sent by American missile defense policy. The system itself will protect the nation from unexpected attack and propound to other nations that their missile programs are a waste of resources. Adequate funding and technological commitment by the United States make comparably meager programs by our enemies ineffectual.
Russian Instability Turns Racism
Russian instability spawns racism and xenophobia
Menon and Motyl 7 [Rajan, Monroe J. Rathbone Professor of International Relations at Lehigh University Alexander J, American historian, American Interest, April, http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=258]
Russia’s recovery is undeniable, but far less substantial than prevailing wisdom avers. What has changed is that Putin looks strong and energy prices have increased, thereby providing Russian elites with money and the confidence to talk tough. Having dismantled democracy, Putin needs another form of popular appeal. He has found it in the language of Great Russian power, which resonates in Russia these days, not least because of the strong undertow of chauvinism and xenophobia. Putin has played on great-power and imperial nostalgia, nationalism and patriotism, vowing to rebuild a strong and glorious Russia. Russian elites of various political persuasions have either adopted Putin’s great-power talk or sympathize with it. But such rhetoric—what Dibb calls “Russia’s will to power”—has not made Russia strong. Indeed, history shows that “talking loudly while carrying a small stick” can push states to overreach, producing upheaval at home and abroad.
Russian Instability Turns Famine
Russian economic instability leads to famine- North Korean proves
Korea Herald 8 [October 6, Lexis]
Events and structural forces, however, have affected and changed the nature of the North Korean system since 1991. The sudden discontinuation of the supply of petroleum and natural resources from Russia in the early 1990s, the failure of the centrally-planned economy, and the subsequent massive famine in the mid-1990s left North Korea's leaders no alternative but to tolerate informal market activities. Nowadays, every North Korean seems to like money and know its value.
Russian Instability Turns Heg
Russian instability hurts US hegemony
Menon and Motyl 7 [Rajan, Monroe J. Rathbone Professor of International Relations at Lehigh University Alexander J, American historian, American Interest, April, http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=258]
For its part, the West will have to live with a Russian petro-state that is weak, loud and potentially unstable. The appropriate policy for America is to build cooperation in areas where its interests intersect with Russia’s, be clear about areas where its interest do not intersect, and do what is feasible to minimize the external consequences of Russian instability—especially in Russia’s neighbors. The challenge for the United States will not be that Russia is too strong to handle, but that it is too weak to make a reliable partner.
Russian Instability Turns Terrorism – Central Asia
Russian instability empowers violent extremism, damning human rights
Irish Times 2/15 [2010, Lexis]
Only last spring Russian officials were declaring an end to anti-terrorist operations in Chechnya, scene of two brutal wars since 1994. Full-scale war may be over in Chechnya, but it has spawned a regional insurgency with a strong Islamist element that is arguably a greater threat to Russian stability than Chechnya s independence- minded fighters ever were. Emma Gilligan s book chronicles Moscow s brutal response to the republic s demand for freedom, an onslaught that has shattered Chechen society, fuelled armed resistance across the Caucasus and bred a new generation of violent extremists. She focuses on the second Chechen war, started by Boris Yeltsin in autumn 1999 and pursued by Vladimir Putin when he stepped up from the prime minister s post to the Kremlin in 2000.
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