The economic crisis and its implications for higher education
23
joblessness may reach 50 million by the end of 2009. The unemployment rate has increased and
is expected to reach close to double digits by 2010 in many of the developed countries including
Germany, the UK and the USA.
Job losses have not been con
fi
ned to developed countries. The job loss between October and
December 2008 was estimated to be around 0.5 million in India. A recent
report indicated that job
cuts by Microsoft have affected 5,000 Indian employees; nearly 100,000 Indians holding H-1B visas
are to lose their jobs. The USA stimulus plan contains a conditionality not to extend employment
opportunities to H-1B visa holders at the cost of workers born in the USA. This will affect workers
from several developing countries, notably India, who have been the single-largest bene
fi
ciaries
of the H-1B visa programme over the past several years. A total of 23,485 Filipinos in the country
and abroad have lost their jobs as a direct result of the global
fi
nancial crisis – 19,443 workers
have lost jobs in the Philippines and 4,042 overseas (Trabaho
Philippine, 28 January.2009 ). The
job loss in Laos is around 85,000. In China, too, job creation resulting from FDI is drying up. More
importantly, a large number of migrant workers are seeking jobs since the companies where they
were working have closed down.
There is a silver lining for India: some of the outsourcing
fi
rms are
fi
nding alternative measures
to counter the job losses. B.G. Srinivas, Senior Vice-President and member of Infosys’ Executive
Council, told the Times of India (TOI) that although there was a 5 per cent budget cut by European
companies, more European companies were outsourcing jobs to lower-cost countries such as India
to beat the recession, though the contracts were not large. Infosys and other Indian outsourcers
are
expanding to Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and elsewhere to lower their dependence on the
United States, their biggest market (Srinivas, 2009 ). This may perhaps help arrest the job losses,
at least partly.
Some of the measures taken to counter the crisis at times reverse some of the aspects considered to
be promoting globalization, namely the cross-border movement of capital and people. For example,
job losses led to street protests in many countries and some of the protesters in the UK re-invented
the slogan of ‘British jobs for British workers’. Some of the responses by national governments took
the form of protectionist policies to protect local workers from foreign workers. The USA stimulus
plan, too, has shown protectionist trends when it stipulates that
fi
rms
receiving an amount of the
stimulus plan should not recruit foreign workers under the H-1B visa, replacing USA citizens. These
policies go against the very concept of globalization that was based on opening up markets and
encouraging the liberalization policies, strongly propagated by those very same countries.
The crisis has affected education in several ways. First, the crisis has affected the job prospects
of graduates. A survey of 250 companies in the UK shows that vacancies are expected to decline
by 5.4 per cent and salaries by 8 per cent. Consequently, many employers are suggesting that
students take a year off (Spencer, 2009). This may have a negative effect on the demand for
higher education.
Second, the
fi
nancial crisis will lead to reduced funding for education. Governments may
fi
nd it
dif
fi
cult to extend the same level of funding in real terms. The private corporations which used to
invest and contribute to education funds may not be able to do so. The
capacity of households to
invest in the education of their children will be reduced in the context of job losses and reduced
income levels.
Third, many universities have lost their investments. For example, many universities had invested
their savings in banks which have become bankrupt. Universities, such as Oxford and Cambridge,
International Institute for Educational Planning www.iiep.unesco.org
24
Globalization, economic crisis and national strategies for higher education development
lost millions of pounds. Between July 2007 and June 2008, the Ohio State University endowment
fell by 11 per cent to US$2.03 billion. Other universities are similarly affected (Okoben, 2009).
Fourth, student support systems will be severely affected. Sallie Mae, the largest provider of student
loans in the US, lost US$1.6 billion during the crisis and the company is
shying away from extending
student loans (Schwartzmann, 2008). The Education Resources Institute (TERI) the largest insurer
of student loans in the USA
fi
led for bankruptcy protection in 2008. The dif
fi
culties in obtaining
loans may affect enrolment in those universities where fees are high.
Fifth, there may be a freeze on programmes and staff recruitment. There has already been a freeze
on recruitment in many universities since 2008. The University of Arizona is planning to amalgamate
certain departments and close down certain programmes. This means that students may have to
extend their stay in the universities and they have thus gone on strike (Richard, 2009).
Sixth, aid to education by bilateral and multi-lateral agencies may decline. The International
Conference on Education in 2008 noted that there is a collective failure to deliver on aid
commitments by donor countries (UNESCO/International Bureau of Education, 2008).
The economic
crisis may further worsen the situation and the impact of the global
fi
nancial crisis on aid, especially
for developing countries, is threatening development, particularly when it comes to advances in
education (Elliott, L. 2008)
On an optimistic note, the World Bank President and IMF Managing Director have argued for
the inclusion of health and education in the
fi
scal stimulus plans introduced in developing and
developed countries (
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