2. Visionary Capital
The second competitive factor among the Four is the ability to attract cheap
capital by articulating a bold vision that is easy to understand. In
chapter 4
we
discussed how visionary capital works for Amazon, but it is an advantage
shared by three of the Four Horsemen.
Google’s vision:
Organizing the world’s information
. Simple, compelling,
and a reason to buy the stock. Google has more money to invest in engineers
than any media company in history. That lets it design more “stuff,”
including autonomous vehicles.
Facebook’s vision:
Connecting the world
. Consider how important and
generally awesome that could be. Facebook is now worth more than
Walmart, and surpassed $400 billion in market value.
1
Similar to Google, it
too can place more bets and offer more generous parental leave, hire buses
that transport you to work, turn the roof of your office building into a park,
and even pay for you to freeze your eggs so you can delay that whole
procreation thing and devote yourself to a
real
contribution to the species—
connecting the world.
Meanwhile, over Thanksgiving weekend 2016, Amazon captured the
largest overall share of organic results for top gift items.
2
Amazon is
Google’s biggest customer. Is search a skill set? No doubt, Amazon is great
at search, but its SEO skill would be Wayne Gretzky without a stick if it
didn’t throw tens of millions of cash at the issue. One in six people start their
search for products using Google,
3
making it the equivalent of the second
biggest (first is Amazon) retail store window in the world. Fifty-five percent
start on Amazon. Take Macy’s windows on Christmas and make it the size of
Everest and K2—that’s the size of the windows into the world that Google
and Amazon search results represent in the fastest growing channel: online
commerce.
Anyone can purchase a place in that window and land at the top of a
Google search. When someone types in “Star Wars action figures,” the
retailer that has bid the most is going to top the paid listings. Amazon
regularly buys that number one spot, because it has the money to do so. And
Amazon can afford this at a scale that no one else can match, as it has
cheaper capital. The company is playing by a different set of rules, and with a
whole different deck of cards. As J.Crew chairman Mickey Drexler points
out, “It’s impossible to compete with a big company that doesn’t want to
make money.”
The strength of visionary capital begets competitive strength. Why?
Because you can more patiently nurture assets (invest) and place more bets
on more pockets of innovation (try crazy shit that just might change the
game). Of course, you ultimately have to show shareholders tangible progress
against your big vision. However, if you’re able to make the jump to light
speed, and the market crowns you the innovator, the reward is an inflated
valuation … and the self-fulfilling prophecy (“we’re #1”) that comes from
cheap capital. The ultimate gift, in our digital age, is a CEO who has the
storytelling talent to capture the imagination of the markets while
surrounding themselves with people who can show incremental progress
against that vision each day.
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