Russia 110201 Basic Political Developments



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National Economic Trends


  • Russia to Start Selling Stockpiled Grain on Feb. 4 (Update1)

  • Gov't to start grain sales on February 4

  • Banks have 543.0 bln rbs on CBR correspondent accounts on February 1.

  • Russian Manufacturing Growth Unchanged in January from December

  • Manufacturing PMI stays at a healthy 53.5 in January

Business, Energy or Environmental regulations or discussions


  • Norilsk, Rosneft, Lukoil, VimpelCom: Russia Equity Preview

  • Shareholders buy 55.8% of Russia's RusHydro extra share offering

  • Norilsk Nickel plans to increase output in 2011

  • Ukraine concentration plant sees jump in output - The plant, majority-owned by Russia's Evraz Group and Ukrainian Smart Holding, said it would invest $104 million in 2011, compared with $47 million in 2010.

  • Acron files claim to block merger between Uralkali and Silvinit

  • Sberbank's Acquisition of Troika Dialog Could be Announced This Week

  • Sberbank May Hire UniCredit’s Alessandro Profumo, Vedomosti Says

  • Rostelecom May Buy Media Assets for $1.3 Billion, Vedomosti Says

  • VimpelCom's Purchase of Telekom Srbija Depends on Weather Deal

  • Ranbaxy inks cooperation MoU with Russia's Yaroslavl region

  • Saturn JSC Expands Solar Cell Production in Russia with Further AIXTRON MOCVD System

  • UPDATE 1-Cherkizovo sees higher poultry price from Q2

  • Mobile TeleSystems is in merger talks with a major cellular operator, the company’s chairman, Vladimir Yevtushenkov, told reporters Monday, without being more specific. (Bloomberg)

  • Norilsk Nickel’s nickel production in the fourth quarter totaled 77,000 tons, a 2.7 percent increase from the prior quarter, and full-year output climbed 5.1 percent to 297,000 tons, the company said Monday in a statement on its web site. (Bloomberg)

  • Development of the Trebs and Titov oil fields in northern Russia won’t affect Bashneft’s dividends, Vladimir Yevtushenkov, chairman of AFK Sistema, which controls Bashneft, said Monday. (Bloomberg)

Activity in the Oil and Gas sector (including regulatory)


  • Hungary seeks to renegotiate Russian gas contract from 2012 - Russia wants to negotiate an extension of its long-term contract to deliver gas to Hungary only in 2014, the year the contract expires, while the Hungarian government would like to start negotiations on the extension already in 2012, half-way through the current government's term, National Development Minister Tamas Fellegi said in a written response to a question by an MP.

  • Russia's Jan ESPO exports via Kozmino up 33% on year to 1.2 mil mt

  • Surgutneftegaz Sells East Siberian Crude Oil for March, April

  • UPDATE 1-Russia's LUKOIL to increase stake in Italy refiner

  • Finland looks to Yamal - Representatives of Finnish oil and gas companies in a meeting with the Russian Ministry of Energy last week confirmed their interest in the planned LNG project in Russia’s far northern Yamal Peninsula.

  • BP dividend joy to be marred by TNK-BP spat

    • Vedomosti: Editorial: Seizing an opportunity - Yesterday, Russian shareholders of TNK-BP – the Alfa Group Consortium, Access, and Renova (AAR) – had, without much ado, left their British partner without any dividends for the IV quarter of 2010. BP, which is in need of funds, will not be getting $1.8 billion.  

Gazprom


  • RUSSIA LINK - Bahrain could soon become the regional hub for Russian energy giant Gazprom, it was revealed yesterday.

  • Gazprom Neft publishes offer for purchase of NIS shares

  • Serbia: Gazprom delivering? - An offer by its oil division, Gazprom Neft, to buy up 19 per cent more of Petroleum Industry of Serbia (NIS) for EUR 153.6m (US$ 209.2m) will hardly persuade Russo-phobes that it is a purely commercial enterprise. But, at least, NIS’s new majority owner appears serious about following through on investment pledges.

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Full Text Articles




Basic Political Developments


02/01 09:12   Law ratifying new Russia-U.S. arms pact comes into force in Russia

http://www.interfax.com/

Law on START ratification comes into force


http://english.ruvr.ru/2011/02/01/42240085.html
Feb 1, 2011 09:36 Moscow Time

The text of the law on the ratification of the Russian-US Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, or START-3, is carried by today’s issue of the Rossiyskaya Gazeta daily and has thus come into force. Last week the document was ratified by both houses of the Russian Parliament, and then signed into law by President Dmitry Medvedev. The treaty was concluded in Prague on April 8th 2010. It reflects the intention of Russia and the United States to reduce the number of their strategic nuclear warheads by a third over the next seven years.  



Russia's Ryabkov on U.S.-Russia relations: 'We can offer tangible results, and we will do more in the future'


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/31/AR2011013105759.html
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov, who daily oversees relations between Moscow and the United States, last week provided interesting insight on Iran, Afghanistan and arms control, among other topics, in an appearance at the Nixon Center in Washington.

He set the stage by saying that President Obama's plan to "reset" relations between Moscow and Washington "has already happened."

"We can offer tangible results, and we will do more in the future," he said.

On Iran, Ryabkov pointed to "unprecedented" coordination, citing Moscow's vote for U.N. resolutions on the issue, including the acceptance of sanctions on the Tehran regime.

He did make the point more than once that his country disagrees with the United States on sanctions: "One [the U.S.] believes in the result of sanctions, the other [Russia] doesn't." Sanctioning "only brings suffering to each and every nation that is being sanctioned."

And unilateral U.S. sanctions do not bring the hoped-for results, he said, and the move "only adds to strain of the international community."

Russia is not conducting separate negotiations with Tehran on the nuclear issue, he said, though Moscow has had bilateral discussions with the Iranians. "We speak to them frankly, as they do with us, and it is not always an easy discussion, but we see no alternative to dialogue," he said.

He called the present proposals to Iran by the P5+1 group (Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States - plus Germany) fine, but added, "We may in the end have some discussion of this sort [about their enrichment program], but it is premature." It would have to be preceded by a step-by-step road map, he said.

Afghanistan is another area where he said the United States and Russia are working together. Calling the cooperation "a success story," he noted that Washington and Moscow are cooperating on supply routes, transportation, training and even economic support to the Afghan government.

Russia fully shares in the new strategy, he said, including support for Afghan national conciliation, though, he added, "We would definitely not accept what is being called re-Talibanization."

Moscow does not want to give support to any radical Islamic movements, having enough trouble at home from such groups.

Another special interest for Russia is the threat posed by Afghan drug cultivation. NATO forces, he argued, should be doing more to eradicate production, interdict on roads from producing areas and eliminate precursors, which are chemicals used for processing opium poppies into heroin and morphine.

"What we are doing jointly and collectively is definitely not enough," he said.

Asked about the future of the U.S. military presence in Afghanistan and the countries on its border, such as Kyrgyzstan, Ryabkov said once the threat situation changed, the U.S. presence would not be required. But he said it is different inside Afghanistan, where a foreign presence, such as the U.S. base at Bagram, might be needed until Afghanistan can sustain itself.

One of Ryabkov's areas of responsibility is security, and in that role he had just attended a meeting on arms control and international security with a working group of the U.S.-Russia Bilateral Presidential Commission, set up in 2009 by Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev.

With both nations' legislatures having approved the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, talks already have begun on the "complicated agenda" for what comes next, he said.

While U.S. officials have focused publicly on a nuclear treaty that would cover reducing the numbers of not just strategic arms but also shorter-range tactical nuclear weapons, Ryabkov talked first about turning to the control of conventional arms in Europe and reaching some predictability of forces on the continent. He said shaping the military relationships on the ground, where Russia has vastly fewer troops and less equipment, would relate to the future of nuclear disarmament.

He talked about the difficulty of finding the correct "platform" for any future agreements, saying that weapons in outer space, non-nuclear strategic weapons, other nuclear nations and missile defenses also have to be considered.

He explained Moscow's concerns about missile defenses, which drew much attention during the U.S. Senate debate on the START agreement. For years, Ryabkov said, the U.S. and Russia discussed putting together a joint-threat assessment of missiles and nuclear arms. He concluded that it cannot be done. A stumbling block has been whether the U.S. development of missile-defense capabilities "would eventually be used in a way to affect the nuclear posture of the Russian Federation," he said. The U.S. always said no, but the Russian answer was "probably yes," in a way that "may endanger our nuclear forces," he added.

The situation is different when it comes to cooperation on theater missile defense, and the presidential commission working group discussed this in its recent meeting, he said.

Discussing the "reset" with the Obama administration, Ryabkov said, "We think that this administration . . . has been very frank with us about its own views," even when talking about Russian domestic activities.

"We are not avoiding any hard talk on these matters and . . . despite these and other differences, we are well-placed to manage it [so] that these differences do not constitute an obstacle in our relationship."

09:58


SCO summit to be held in Astana on June 15 - Kazakhstan

http://www.interfax.com/news.asp



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