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“Young Scientist” . # 28 (370) . July 2021
Geography
Г Е О Г РАФ И Я
Water Allocation and Water Forecast in Panj-Amu River Basin of Afghanistan,
Case Study Taloqan Sub-River Basin
Wakil Abdul Wakil, student master's degree program
Kazakh-German University (Almaty, Kazakhstan)
This article presents an integrated methodological approach for water allocation and water forecasting in the Panj‑Amu River 
Basin of Afghanistan, a case study of Taloqan Sub‑River Basin. Since water allocation is a process for equitable sharing of water and 
reaching an agreement with the community on these water shares, it is important in reducing conflict over access to water resources. 
There are three separate estimates needed to make a determination for seasonal water allocation or seasonal water sharing such as 
water resource estimates, water demand estimates, and water balance estimates. Requirements to manage water‑sharing need to be 
considered such as structured communication with water users and water‑related organizations, processes for monitoring water‑sharing, 
policing water shares, and updating water supply and demand forecasts. To manage water resources in a river basin in the longer term, 
various estimates and processes are needed in river basin planning hindcasting and forecasting water availability, allowing for variability 
in water availability, water demand estimates in river basin planning, and water allocation in a river basin plan. The two methods 
(snow cover against flow, and percentiles based on the available recorded flow data) help the River Basin Agencies/Organizations how 
to allocate water among all water users inside the sub‑basin and even at the transboundary level. This could help to increase water 
efficiency and agricultural productivity as climate change already brought changes in precipitation and discharge. A clear understanding 
of the availability of water at the resources could help in planning and will reduce the conflicts among all water users.