8
Electric Vehicles for Smarter Cities: The Future of Energy and Mobility
The focus should be on electrifying the vehicles with the
highest use rates, such as public transport or mobility-as-
a-service fleets, which represent a higher volume of miles
travelled. This approach also helps to avoid the main barriers
to adoption by individual customers (concerns about vehicle
range and charging) and long vehicle-replacement cycles.
b. Mobility patterns
Status quo – proliferation
Mobility culture, such as the influence of society and age on
vehicle ownership, and mobility patterns vary across countries
and cities. In general, traditional vehicle-ownership models
still play a central role in individuals’ commuting patterns,
complemented by partially electrified public transport networks.
The opportunity – transformation
The growth of mobility-as-a-service and an increase in the
number of AVs will significantly alter urban mobility patterns,
with the opportunity to reduce transport costs, improve traffic
congestion and safety, and repurpose urban spaces currently
used for parking.
The ease of mobility-as-a-service and shared mobility solutions
may reduce the number of vehicles on the road as urban and
suburban commuters use their personal vehicles less. This
trend could be accelerated by AVs in the future, especially
as the perception of customers evolves. In this scenario, the
cost per mile of a shared AV is significantly lower than a self-
driven, personal-use ICE vehicle, creating a compelling value
proposition for the customer (see Figure 13).
Figure 4: European emission regulations are set to become stricter through 2025
Note:
1
EU6 regulations on emissions; RDE: Real-Driving Emissions
Sources: IHS Automotive Conference 2016, European Commission
Increasing penalties to auto makers for excess emission per vehicle
•
:
•
• Max CO2 threshold
130g/km for all
passenger cars
• Costly NOx
reduction for diesel
(0.08 g/km)*
• Challenges for
OEMs as worldwide
harmonized light
vehicle test cycles
(WLTC) for pollution
and fuel efficiency
go into place
• Ambitious target set
for passenger cars
- innovation needed
from OEMs to live
up to targets
Current average
2025
2021
Stricter emission regulations set towards 2025
Passenger vehicles
Light Commercial Vehicles
2014
• Stricter particle
number (PN)
regulations for
gasoline engines
• Real driving
emissions (RDE)
test set to begin
(monitoring emissions
live on cars)
2017
• Current average
emissions in Europe
for passenger
vehicles
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