Turning the Page: The Future of eBooks
13
1.2
Market Drivers
The eBook market is in its infancy,
particularly with regard to mass market
publishers. What factors will significantly
enhance the development of the market
and pave the way to a mass market? In the
opinion of experts, two aspects are relevant
in this respect: attractive devices and the
availability of content.
Choice of attractive devices is important
Devices are driving the market. For
almost all experts, it is very important
or important that consumers are able
to access a choice of attractive devices.
Experts agree that Apple, in particular,
will stimulate the market with the iPad.
This device addresses a large mass of
consumers, and enables eBooks to be
downloaded simply by way of iBooks.
Increasing number of eBooks
In addition to the devices, most experts
agree that a wide range of available
eBooks is key. Indeed, the shortage of
eBooks in the past was one of the main
reasons why the market did not develop.
Many publishers now recognize the
attractiveness of the eBook opportunity,
both in terms of volume and margins.
Accordingly, larger publishing houses, in
particular, have significantly expanded
their eBook portfolio, and most of them
publish all new books in printed and digital
form.
However, the digitizing process is posing
several problems for publishers that should
not be under estimated. For example,
publishers frequently have the marketing
rights only for the printed and audio
content, particularly in the case of older
books. Therefore, further negotiations
with the authors will be required. These
negotiations frequently fail because
authors do not respond to the request of
the publishers or do not agree to digital
marketing. They also fail because of wide
discrepancies between authors’ fees and
the prices publishers are willing to pay.
In addition, eBooks require a level of
investment that is particularly difficult for
smaller publishers.
The supplementary range of free content,
such as that provided by the Gutenberg
Project or Google Books, is considered
to be less important. This is, at best,
an additional driver for encouraging
consumers to enter this market. However,
this is not a crucial factor for market
success, according to the experts.
Closed systems
Experts are of divided opinions with regard
to user friendliness and closed systems
(so-called walled-garden models). It is true
that the Kindle and iPad’s user-friendly
experiences have helped kick-start the
market. However, it was thought that
such models in the long term would result
in frustration and a lack of acceptance
because consumers are critical with regard
to access restrictions.
At present, it is not possible to foresee
whether open or closed systems will
become commonplace. Special-interest
publishers, in particular, are critical when
discussing the chances of the success of
walled-garden models; because users of
special interest information primarily work
with a laptop, any user restriction might
quickly deter them. On the other hand,
in the mass market, it would take longer
before consumers expressed concern over
restrictions. Not surprisingly, executives
from online bookstores hope that open
systems will become established so that
they will be able to gain a slice of the
digital pie. The industry also tends to be
critical with regard to closed models.
Additional content and updates
Publishers have different views with
respect to additional content and
multimedia enrichment. While all special-
interest publishers surveyed stated this
was important, most mass publishers said
such features were of minor importance.
This trend is understandable if we
consider that, for instance, an animation
of the blood circulation in a medical book
can significantly enhance the reader’s
understanding of the organism, whereas
a video in a novel would be a hindrance
to relaxed and in-depth reading. Indeed,
according to experts, additional content
is a crucial criterion for special interest
literature because it creates added value for
consumers and opens up further revenue
possibilities in the digital environment.
However, it is necessary to consider how
added value can be offered to consumers
with publisher’s content and also what
services would have to be developed to
make the content interesting.
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