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Meaning

Value

Frequent

Likely to occur many times (has occurred frequently)

5

Occasional

Likely to occur sometimes (has occurred infrequently)

4

Remote

Unlikely to occur, but possible (has occurred rarely)

3

Improbable

Very unlikely to occur (not known to have occurred)

2

Extremely improbable

Almost inconceivable that the event will occur




1



            1. Figure 5-2. Safety risk probability table



      1. Safety risk severity is defined as the possible consequences of an unsafe event or condition, taking as reference the worst foreseeable situation. The assessment of the severity of the consequences of the hazard if its damaging potential materializes during operations aimed at delivery of services can be assisted by questions such as:

        1. How many lives may be lost (employees, passengers, bystanders and the general public)?

        2. What is the likely extent of property or financial damage (direct property loss to the operator, damage to aviation infrastructure, third-party collateral damage, financial and economic impact for the State)?

        3. What is the likelihood of environmental impact (spillage of fuel or other hazardous product, and physical disruption of the natural habitat)?

        4. What are the likely political implications and/or media interest?

      2. Based on the considerations emerging from the replies to questions such as those listed in 5.5.2, the severity of the possible consequences of an unsafe event or condition, taking as reference the worst foreseeable situation, can be assessed using a safety risk severity table.

      3. Figure 5-3 presents a typical safety risk severity table, also a five-point table. It includes five categories to denote the level of severity of the occurrence of an unsafe event or condition, the meaning of each category, and the assignment of a value to each category. As with the safety risk probability table, this table is an example presented for educational purposes only, and the same caveats expressed in 5.4.6 apply.



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