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C H A PT E R 1 8 Capital Structure and The Cost of Capital
Into the early 1990s, the ratio of debt to economic activity fell as fi rms issued equity
to strengthen their balance sheets and to reduce the probability of fi nancial distress due to
over-borrowing. But as the economy grew in the 1990s, so did the relative use of debt, until
the economic slowdown in the early part of the new millennium started to reduce debt levels.
From 2001
through the present, we have seen the same cycle—a recessionary economy causing
fi rms to shed debt, only for the corporate economy to borrow again as the economy grew
through 2008. Use of debt fell
during the Great Recession, but it rose again through 2015 as
the economy began to recover.
Cashing in on Low Interest Rates
CRISIS
The Federal Reserve System has pursued an active monetary policy to lower interest
rates since the beginning of the 2007–2009 Great Recession. It did so through a number of
“quantitative easing” events in which it purchased securities in an attempt
to raise bond prices
and lower interest rates. Overall, the attempt to lower interest rates has been successful through
2016. Ten-year Treasury bonds that yielded over 5 percent in 2007 yielded as low as 1.5 per-
cent in 2012. After rising in 2013 to slightly over 3 percent, rates again dropped to well below
2 percent in 2016. Interest rates on 30-year Treasury bonds had similar declines,
with yields
falling from over 5 percent in 2007 to below 3 percent in 2012, and remaining there into 2016.
1
The low interest rate environment was great news for borrowers. Home mortgage rates,
which were nearly 7 percent in 2007, fell to 3.3 percent in 2012 and remained under 4 percent
into 2016. Corporations noticed the trend in falling interest rates, too.
Baa-rated corporate
bond yields fell from over 9 percent in 2008 to around 4.5 percent in 2012 before rising to the
lower 5 percent range in 2016. Corporate treasurers took advantage of this “cheap money” and
increased their borrowing. Issuances of 30-year corporate bonds hit nearly 20-year highs and
0%
1951-10-01
1953-02-01
1954-06-01
1955-10-01
1963-10-01
1967-10-01
1957-02-01
1958-06-01
1962-06-01
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1981-02-01
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1991-10-01
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2007-10-01
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2013-02-01
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
45%
40%
50%
Corporate Debt as a Percentage of GDP
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