The Fed’s move to emphasise full
employment could start a global trend
The Federal Reserve
New job
description
C
entral bankers
who leave office
often write memoirs. Few are as
damning of the financial system they
once served as Urjit Patel, the governor of
the Reserve Bank of India (
rbi
) in 2016-18,
and Viral Acharya, its deputy governor in
2017-19, who is now an academic at
nyu
Stern School of Business. In separate
books, they tell stories of rampant gov-
ernment meddling in the banking sys-
tem. Both stood down before their terms
ended. Their books suggest why.
Mr Patel does not directly address his
departure. But he appears to have
reached breaking point when the govern-
ment of Narendra Modi tried to dilute
new bankruptcy rules that it had once
championed to tackle the problem of
zombie corporations.
In a chapter titled “The Empire Strikes
Back”, he relates how the government
lobbied the
rbi
to extend repayment
times for companies with 2trn rupees
($27bn) in aggregate exposure. “Instead
of buttressing and future-proofing the
gains thus far”, he writes, the atmosphere
became one of going “easy on the pedal”.
Mr Patel describes how Indian savers,
to whom he dedicates his book, see their
funds used by government-controlled
banks and other financial institutions
for “vague (and extraneous) objectives”,
such as supporting politically connected
states and companies and, sometimes,
the stockmarket. The distortions un-
dermine banks’ incentives to apply the
scrutiny needed to properly allocate
credit. Price signals become confused;
interest rates for viable private compa-
nies must remain high to offset the ones
that don’t pay.
Mr Acharya documents other forms of
interference. These include constant
pressure to provide stimulus, raids on
the central bank’s reserves to cover bud-
get deficits, and even threats to invoke a
long-buried clause in the
rbi
’s enabling
legislation, allowing the government to
give directions to the central bank when
it was in “the public interest”. Suggesting
sympathy for Mr Patel, he says the ex-
governor’s battle to defend financial
stability made his job untenable.
Mr Acharya grimly concludes that a
“silent crisis” has been unfolding in
India’s banking system, with borrowers
prevented from defaulting only because
the government is presumed to prop
everything up. That works until the
government’s “solvency is itself consid-
ered to be on the brink”. With the econ-
omy shrinking by 24% in the April-June
quarter, compared with the same period
in 2019, and public finances under pres-
sure, the strains are only likely to get
worse. But at least with these two brave
books the silence has been broken.
Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |