Homo Deus: a brief History of Tomorrow


parties, movements and gurus, yet though their ultimate aims may differ, they all



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Homo Deus A Brief History of Tomorrow ( PDFDrive )


parties, movements and gurus, yet though their ultimate aims may differ, they all
have to pass through the same bottleneck of economic growth, so why not pull
together in the meantime?
The  credo  of  ‘more  stuff’  accordingly  urges  individuals,  firms  and
governments to discount anything that might hamper economic growth, such as
preserving  social  equality,  ensuring  ecological  harmony  or  honouring  your
parents.  In  the  Soviet  Union,  when  people  thought  that  state-controlled
communism  was  the  fastest  way  to  grow,  anything  that  stood  in  the  way  of


collectivisation  was  bulldozed,  including  millions  of  kulaks,  the  freedom  of
expression  and  the  Aral  Sea.  Nowadays  it  is  generally  accepted  that  some
version of free-market capitalism is a much more efficient way of ensuring long-
term  growth,  hence  rich  farmers  and  freedom  of  expression  are  protected,  but
ecological habitats, social structures and traditional values that stand in the way
of free-market capitalism are destroyed and dismantled.
Take,  for  example,  a  software  engineer  making  $250  per  hour  working  for
some  hi-tech  start-up.  One  day  her  elderly  father  has  a  stroke.  He  now  needs
help with shopping, cooking and even showering. She could move her father to
her  own  house,  leave  home  later  in  the  morning,  come  back  earlier  in  the
evening and take care of her father personally. Both her income and the start-
up’s productivity would suffer, but her father would enjoy the care of a respectful
and loving daughter. Alternatively, the engineer could hire a Mexican carer who,
for  $25  per  hour,  would  live  with  the  father  and  provide  for  all  his  needs.  That
would mean business as usual for the engineer and her start-up, and even the
carer and the Mexican economy would benefit. What should the engineer do?
Free-market capitalism has a firm answer. If economic growth demands that
we loosen family bonds, encourage people to live away from their parents, and
import carers from the other side of the world – so be it. This answer, however,
involves an ethical judgement rather than a factual statement. No doubt, when
some  people  specialise  in  software  engineering  while  others  spend  their  time
taking  care  of  the  elderly,  we  can  produce  more  software  and  give  old  people
more  professional  care.  Yet  is  economic  growth  more  important  than  family
bonds? By daring to make such ethical judgements, free-market capitalism has
crossed the border from the land of science to that of religion.
Most capitalists would probably dislike the title of religion, but as religions go,
capitalism can at least hold its head high. Unlike other religions that promise us
a  pie  in  the  sky,  capitalism  promises  miracles  here  on  earth  –  and  sometimes
even  provides  them.  Much  of  the  credit  for  overcoming  famine  and  plague
belongs to the ardent capitalist faith in growth. Capitalism even deserves some
kudos  for  reducing  human  violence  and  increasing  tolerance  and  cooperation.
As  the  next  chapter  explains,  there  are  additional  factors  at  play  here,  but
capitalism did make an important contribution to global harmony by encouraging
people to stop viewing the economy as a zero-sum game, in which your profit is
my loss, and instead see it as a win–win situation, in which your profit is also my
profit.  This  has  probably  helped  global  harmony  far  more  than  centuries  of
Christian preaching about loving your neighbour and turning the other cheek.
From  its  belief  in  the  supreme  value  of  growth,  capitalism  deduces  its  number


one commandment: thou shalt invest thy profits in increasing growth. For most
of  history  princes  and  priests  wasted  their  profits  on  flamboyant  carnivals,
sumptuous palaces and unnecessary wars. Alternatively, they put gold coins in
an iron chest, sealed it and buried it in a dungeon. Today, devout capitalists use
their  profits  to  hire  new  employees,  enlarge  the  factory  or  develop  a  new
product.
If they don’t know how to do it themselves, they give their money to somebody
who does, such as bankers and venture capitalists. The latter lend the money to
various entrepreneurs. Farmers take loans to plant new wheat fields, contractors
build new houses, energy corporations explore new oil fields, and arms factories
develop  new  weapons.  The  profits  from  all  these  activities  enable  the
entrepreneurs  to  repay  the  loans  with  interest.  We  now  have  not  only  more
wheat, houses, oil and weapons – but also more money, which the banks and
funds  can  again  lend.  This  wheel  will  never  stop,  at  least  not  according  to
capitalism. We will never reach a moment when capitalism says: ‘That’s it. You
have  grown  enough.  You  can  now  take  it  easy.’  If  you  want  to  know  why  the
capitalist wheel is unlikely ever to stop, talk for an hour with a friend who has just
earned $100,000 and wonders what to do with it.
‘The banks offer such low interest rates,’ he would complain. ‘I don’t want to
put  my  money  in  a  savings  account  that  pays  hardly  0.5  per  cent  a  year.  You
can make perhaps 2 per cent in government bonds. My cousin Richie bought a
flat in Seattle last year, and he has already made 20 per cent on his investment!
Maybe  I  should  go  into  real  estate  too;  but  everybody  is  saying  there’s  a  new
real-estate  bubble.  So  what  do  you  think  about  the  stock  exchange?  A  friend
told  me  the  best  deal  these  days  is  to  buy  an  ETF  that  follows  emerging
economies, like Brazil or China.’ As he stops for a moment to breathe, you ask,
‘Well, why not just be satisfied with your $100,000?’ He will explain to you better
than I can why capitalism will never stop.
This  lesson  is  hammered  home  even  to  children  and  teenagers  through
ubiquitous  capitalist  games.  Premodern  games  such  as  chess  assumed  a
stagnant  economy.  You  begin  a  game  of  chess  with  sixteen  pieces,  and  you
never finish a game with more. In rare cases a pawn may be transformed into a
queen, but you cannot produce new pawns, nor can you upgrade your knights
into tanks. So chess players never have to think about investment. In contrast,
many  modern  board  games  and  computer  games  revolve  around  investment
and growth.
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