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Afghan instability causes continued fighting
Campion-Smith 7 [Bruce, Staff Writer, July 16, Toronto Star, Lexis]
But he stresses Afghanistan's stability also depends on building up its institutions and economy to offer opportunities to youth now falling under the sway of insurgents. "The whole issue is jobs ... You've got a bunch of young kids who will accept $10 a day to pick up a weapon and come and shoot at us."
Afghan Instability Turns Women
Afgan instability prompts fundamentalist rule- damning female rights.
Webber 3 [Kathryn J. J.D. Candidate, 1998, University of Pennsylvania Law School; B.A., Winter, University of Pennsylvania Journal of International Economic Law, 24 U. Pa. J. Int'l Econ. L. 959, Lexis]
On September 27, 1996, the Taliban, a militant Islamic group, seized control of Afghanistan's capital. n2 Comprised of Islamic clerics and students, n3 the Taliban established a new fundamentalist Islamic government over two-thirds of Afghanistan. n4 Initially, the Afghan population welcomed the Taliban regime, hoping the new government would bring peace n5 to this war-torn area. n6 The fundamentalist regime, however, would soon bring drastic change to the Afghan society and economy. n7 This Comment examines the [*961] Taliban's economic effects on women. Women particularly face a darker side of Taliban rule. For example, one of the Taliban's first actions was to ban women from all employment. n8 Moreover, two women were beaten in the street for not wearing proper Islamic dress. n9 Understanding the full effect of Taliban's rule on women, however, requires a deeper analysis than a mere listing of current abuses. It requires an examination of Islamic law. The Taliban government has promised that the laws of Islam will be the laws of the state. n10 Islamic law, or Shari'a, affects [*962] women in unique ways. The Shari'a has detailed rules concerning women's inheritance rights, dower rights, and marriage duties. These rules have specific economic consequences for Afghan women. Therefore, to understand the economic effects of the Taliban government on women, one must understand the economic effects of Islamic law.
Afghan Instability Turns Terrorism/Opium/Warlords
Afghan instability causes renewed opium trade, terrorism and warlord resurgence
The Guardian 2 [February 19, "Afghan staying power: Karzai needs friends he can count on", The Guardian Newspapers, Lexis]
Amid all this uncertainty and strife, on-off American bombing raids and ground operations persist in the forlorn hope of snaring, even now, the many se nior al-Qaida and Taliban leaders who escaped the Pentagon's dragnet. Such officially sanctioned violence, while too frequently victimising civilian innocents, delays efforts to turn the page on two decades of warfare and start afresh. The longer the Karzai administration fails to take charge and impose order, and the longer Afghanistan remains the US military's biggest, best shooting range and hunting ground, the smaller the chances that the Bonn process can succeed. Nobody could reasonably have expected an Afghan restoration to be either quick or problem-free. But current trends point to two conclusions. One is that Mr Karzai is right to ask the US to send its troops to join Britain in an expanded stabilisation force and that President George Bush is woefully wrong to refuse him. The second is that if security continues to deteriorate, Mr Karzai will ineluctably lose credibility, then control. His downfall will trigger the collapse of most if not all the grand international rehabilitation schemes. With the returning, resurgent warlords, proxy forces and opium barons will come fanatics, ideologues and terrorists. And then, for want of staying power and a bit of nous, it really could be back to square one.
Afghan Instability Turns Biodiversity
Afghan stability sustains biodiversity
WCS 7 [Wildlife Conservation Society, http://www.wcs.org/internationa l/Asia/afghanistan]
A four-year drought has compounded the infrastructural damage caused by fighting, emptying rivers and irrigation canals. With the recently installed government of President Hamid Karzai still exerting only very limited central authority, the hunting of endangered species and widespread smuggling of rare animals that flourished during the chaos of fighting continues unabated. As for the trees, "after very few years the forest will all be gone," says Adil. In their place, the nearly barren land is seeded with mines and unexploded bombs.
Afghan Instability Turns Chinese Stability
Afghan instability threatens Chinese stability
Bhadrakumar 3/30 [M K, Indian Ambassador to Soviet Union, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Kuwait and Turkey, 2010, Asian Times, http://inthesenewtimes.com/2010/03/30/karzais-china-iran-dalliance-riles-obama/] KLS
The chaos caused by the war in Afghanistan is threatening security in China’s northwestern region. A weak government in Kabul could mean a poorly manned border, which in turn would facilitate drug trafficking and arms smuggling and allow “East Turkmenistan” separatists to seek shelter in Afghanistan after causing trouble in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region.
***IRAQ/CENTRAL ASIA***
Instability in Iraq spills over into the entire region
Pollack 4 [Kenneth M, Sr. Fellow & Director of Research @ Saban Center for Middle East Policy, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2004/01iraq_pollack/20040107.pdf,]
Various political, military, and economic factors make it unlikely that Washington will simply maintain its current economic and military commitments to Iraq indefinitely, however. The key question is whether the Bush Administration adapts its policy to the needs of reconstruction or instead opts to phase out its engagement in Iraq. There is enough good in Iraq and enough positive developments there that if the United States and its Coalition allies are willing to address the challenges listed above, there is every reason to believe that Iraq could be a stable, prosperous, and pluralist society within a period of 5–15 years. In contrast, there is great danger for the United States in disengaging from Iraq. Without a strong American role, at least behind the scenes, the negative forces in the country would almost certainly produce Lebanon-like chaos and civil war that would quickly spill across Iraq’s borders and destabilize politically and economically fragile neighbors such as Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Iran, and Syria, and possibly Turkey and Kuwait as well.
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