Uzbekistan Quality Job Creation as a Cornerstone for Sustainable Economic Growth

Figure 2.13: Electricity Demand Projection, Uzbekistan, 2016–2030 
(TWh)
Demand: low case
Demand: high case
Generation from hydro
Generation from thermal
Demand: base case
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
TWh

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Infrastructure as a Foundation for Job Creation
Table 2.10: Uzbekistan’s Power Generation, 1991, 2016, 2017, and 
Projections 2017–2050
1991
2016
2017
2020
f
2025
f
2030
f
2040
f
2050
f
Population
(million people)
21.1
32.1
32.6
33.4
35.4
37.1
40.6
42.7
Annual growth rate 
(%)
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
1.0
0.5
Power generation 
(TWh)
54.1
59.0
61.7
70.4
88.6
108.6
165.4
250.1
Power generation 
per capita
(kWh/capita)
2,564.0 1,838.0 1,891.8 2,107.8 2,502.8 2,927.2 4077.0 5,863.2
f
= forecast, kWh = kilowatt-hour, TWh = terawatt-hour.
Source: Uzbekenergo (2018).
Table 2.9: Electricity Supply Projection, Uzbekistan, 2015–2020
Item
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Thermal Power Plants
Installed capacity, existing TPPs 
(MW)
9,000
8,000
7,500
7,000
6,700
5,700
Installed capacity, new TPPs (MW)
727
1,997
2,897
3,797
4,697
6,067
Total installed capacity, all TPPs 
(MW)
9,727
9,997 10,397 10,797 11,397 11,767
Available capacity, all TPPs (MW)
9,216
9,710
9,516 10,248 10,967 10,998
Hydropower Plants (HPPs)
Installed capacity, all HPPs (MW)
2,005
2,005
2,005
2,005
2,005
2,005
Available capacity, all HPPs (MW)
1,990
1,990
1,990
1,990
1,990
1,999
Available capacity, all HPPs during 
winter (MW)
866
866
866
866
866
866
Total installed capacity (MW)
11,732 12,002 12,402 12,802 13,402 13,772
Total available capacity (MW)
11,206 11,700 11,506 12,238 12,957 12,997
Total available capacity in winter (MW) 10,082 10,576 10,382 11,114 11,833 11,864
Total generation (GWh)
58,806 59,847 60,904 61,979 63,567 65,222
Hydro (%)
12.7
12.5
12.2
12.0
11.7
11.4
Thermal (%)
87.3
87.5
87.8
88
88.3
88.6
Trade
Export (MW)
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
Import (MW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
Balance (MW)
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
GWh = gigawatt-hour, MW = megawatt, TPP = Thermal Power Plants.
Source: Grunwald (2012).

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Uzbekistan Quality Job Creation as a Cornerstone for Sustainable Economic Growth
Table 2.11: Generating Capacity of Hydropower Plants, Actual and 
Targeted, Uzbekistan, 2017–2025
(MW)
Item
Generating 
capacity 
in 2016 
(actual)
Future Generating Capacity
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2025
Construction of 
new HPPs
.…
0
0
72.0
123.3
342.7
984.7
Modernization of 
existing HPPs
.…
1,838.9 1,854.6 1,879.6 2,053.1 2,053.1 2,053.1
Total
1,793.9
1,838.9 1,854.6 1,951.6 2,176.4 2,395.8 3,037.8
... = not available, HPP = hydropower plant, MW = megawatt.
Source: Government of Uzbekistan (2017). 
Table 2.12: Generation Expansion Plan, by Source, Uzbekistan,
2018–2030 
(MW)
Type
Projects 
(units)
Capacity 
(MW)
Thermal power plants
29
5,406
Of which:
1.1. CCGT or gas turbines
19
4,956
1.2. Coal block stations 
2
300
1.3. Modernization of Syrdarya TPP blocks
6
150
1.4. Transition of 6th and 7th units of New-Angren to coal
2
0
2. Hydraulic power plants
18
343
3. Solar and wind power plants:
4
402
3.1. Solar power plants
3
300
3.2. Wind power plants
1
102
Total
51
6,553
CCGT = combined cycle gas turbine, MW = megawatt, TPP = thermal power plant.
Source: Uzbekenergo. http://www.uzbekenergo.uz/en/ (accessed 17 July 2018).
Ten thermal power stations will be rehabilitated and refurbished under 
Uzbekenergo’s development plan. The developments will add four new 
900 MW blocks in the Navoi, New Syrdarya, Talimarjan, and Turakurgan
power stations. 
Demand- and supply-side inefficiencies. 
As discussed above, demand- and 
supply-side inefficiencies have made Uzbekistan one of the most energy- and 
electricity-intensive countries in the region. Electricity intensity in 2016 was 

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