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conclusions
The threat narrative and the countries’ focus on hard 
security, including the overstated scenario of spill-
over from Afghanistan, are flip sides of the same coin. 
Notwithstanding this, the biggest threat to stability 
in both countries stems from how their governments 
are dealing with domestic challenges. Addressing 
those would enable Tajikistan and Uzbekistan to con-
solidate and integrate their respective societies and 
13 A. Mannanov, “Kak Tadzhikistan vernul ‘Plotinu’ i Farkhodskoe vodokhranilishche,” Asia-Plus, August 19, 2011, http://news.tj/ru/news/
kak-tadzhikistan-vernul-plotinu-i-farkhodskoe-vodokhranilishche.
14 M. Sadykov, “Uzbekistan: New Ferghana Railway Plan Tweaks Tajikistan,” Ferghana.news, March 13, 2013, http://enews.fergananews.com/arti-
cles/2825.


If Only It Was Only Water... The Strained Relationship between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan
127
to embrace cross-border cooperation as a win-win 
game.
Domestic demand for good governance needs 
to be fostered in both countries. The international 
community can promote these principles by apply-
ing them in their own dealings with Tajikistan and 
Uzbekistan. International engagement with authori-
tarian leaders in Central Asia according to the mot-
to of “he is a son of a bitch, but he is our son of a 
bitch” (on sukin syn, no on nash sukin syn) stands in 
the way of initiating domestic political processes. It 
also comes at the price of long-term instability as, by 
supporting the countries’ leaders for the sake of to-
day’s stability, the feeling of disenfranchisement on 
the parts of the countries’ respective populations is 
nurtured. This, in turn, is understood as a cause for 
radicalization that can come along with instability in 
a long-term perspective. 



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