Unemployment and Inflation Who Counts in Unemployment?



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Unemployment and Inflation

Insider-Outsider Model: those already working for the firm are “insiders” who know the procedures; the other workers are “outsiders” who are recent or prospective hires

  • Relative Wage Coordination Argument: across-the-board wage cuts are hard for an economy to implement, and workers fight against them

    Frictional and Structural Unemployment


    • Frictional Unemployment: unemployment that occurs as workers move between jobs

    • Natural Rate of Unemployment: the unemployment rate that would exist in a growing and healthy economy from the combination of economic, social, and political factors that exist at a given time; the sum of frictional plus structural unemployment

    • Structural Unemployment: unemployment that occurs because individuals lack skills valued by employers

    The Natural Rate of Unemployment


    • The natural rate of unemployment includes only frictional and structural unemployment, and not cyclical unemployment

    • related to two other important concepts: full employment and potential real GDP

    • Unexpected shifts in productivity can have a powerful effect on the natural rate of unemployment

    • On the supply side of the labor market, public policies to assist the unemployed can affect how eager people are to find work

    • On the demand side of the labor market, government rules social institutions, and the presence of unions can affect the willingness of firms to hire

    The Natural Rate of Unemployment in Recent Years

    The underlying economic, social, and political factors that determine the natural rate of unemployment can change over time:


    • The Internet has provided a remarkable new tool through which job seekers can find out about jobs at different companies and can make contact with relative ease

    • The growth of the temporary worker industry has probably helped to reduce the natural rate of unemployment

    • The aging of the “baby boom generation”

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