The Next 100 Years



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The Next 100 Years A Forecast for the 21st Century ( PDFDrive )

MONGOLIA
MONGOLIA
RUSSIA
RUSSIA
KAZAKHSTAN
KAZAKHSTAN
INDIA
INDIA
NEPAL
NEPAL
MYANMAR
MYANMAR
VIETNAM
VIETNAM
NORTH
NORTH
KOREA
KOREA
SOUTH
SOUTH
KOREA
KOREA
JAPAN
JAPAN
TAIWAN
TAIWAN
MONGOLIA
RUSSIA
KAZAKHSTAN
INDIA
NEPAL
MYANMAR
VIETNAM
NORTH
KOREA
SOUTH
KOREA
JAPAN
TAIWAN
People per 
Square Kilometer
401+
301–400
201–300
101–200
0 –100
China’s Population Density
Frie_9780385517058_4p_all_r1.qxp:Layout 1 11/13/08 12:37 PM Page 90
PDF


The period of chaos lasted from the mid- nineteenth century until the
Communists took power in 1949. Mao had tried to foment a revolution in
coastal cities like Shanghai. Having failed, he took the famous long march
into the interior, where he raised an army of poor peasants, fought a civil
war, and retook the coast. He then returned China to its pre- European en-
closure. From 1949 until Mao’s death, China was united and dominated by
a strong government, but was isolated and poor.
c h i n a’s g a m b l e
Mao’s death led his successors to try once more for the historic Chinese
dream. They wanted a China that was wealthy from international trade
but united under a single powerful government. Deng Xiaoping, Mao’s
successor, knew that China could not remain isolated permanently and
still be secure. Someone would take advantage of China’s economic weak-
ness. Deng therefore gambled. He bet that this time China could open its
borders, engage in international trade, and not be torn apart by internal
conflict.
c h i n a 2 0 2 0
91

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