Science
Scientific American
scientific controversies
scientific research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in
Scottish Parliament
self-control
self-criticism
Seligman, Martin
selves; experiencing; remembering
sets
Shafir, Eldar
similarity judgments
Simmel, Mary-Ann
Simon, Herbert
Simons, Daniel
Simpson, O. J.
single evaluations; joint evaluations vs.
ski jump event
skills; acquisition of; environment of; feedback and practice in; illusions of; in stock-
picking
Slovic, Paul
Slovic, Roz
slow thinking
<=“0>
smiles, in face reading
smiling; availability heuristic and
Smith, Vernon
socializing
social science
Soll, Jack
somatic marker hypothesis
soul
Sources of Power
(Klein)
Soviet Union
Spinoza, Baruch
Sports Illustrated
Stalin, Joseph
Standard & Poor’s (S&P)
Stanford University
Stanovich, Keith
statistics and statistical thinking; and accidents of sampling; base rates and,
see
base rates;
Bayesian; and bias of confidence over doubt; causes and; chance in; deciding on size
of sample; extreme outcomes and; faith in small samples; law of large numbers; law
of small numbers; sample size decisions and;
see also
probability
status quo, defending
Steiger, James H.
stereotypes; causal; about professions
Steve the librarian
stock market
stock picking
stock portfolios
stock trading, insider
Stone, Arthur
stories, life
St. Petersburg paradox
Strack, Fritz
strangers, assessment of
Strangers to Ourselves
(Wilson)
Streep, Meryl
strength, assessments of
structured settlements
Stumbling to Happiness
(Gilbert)
substitution; and mood heuristic for happiness; and 3-D heuristic
success, uot
sum-like variables
sunk-cost fallacy
Sunstein, Cass
Super Bowl
supply and demand
surgeons
Surowiecki, James
surprise
survey and gift experiments
survival-mortality experiment
symbols
System 1; characteristics of; conflict between System 2 and
System 2; conflict between System 1 and; laziness of
Taleb, Nassim
talent
task sets
task switching
Tate, Geoffrey
taxes; child exemptions and
temperament
temptation
Tenet, George
terrorism
Tetlock, Philip
Thaler, Richard
theory-induced blindness
therapists
thinking like a trader
Thomas, Lewis
threats; possibility effect and
3-D heuristic
tickets; buying and selling of; sunk cost in
time; use of
time pressure
Todorov, Alex
token experiment
Tom W problem
“Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth” (Barber and Odean)
transactions and trades
Traviata, La
(Verdi)
Truman, Harry
trustworthiness, assessments of
truth, illusions of
Tversky, Amos
understanding, illusion of
unique cases
University College London
University of California at Berkeley
University of Chicago
University of Michigan
University of Minnesota
University of Oregon
unlikely events,
see
rare events unknown unknowns
utility; decision; experienced; indifference map and; injection puzzle and; meanings of
utility theory; certainty effect and; decision weights and probabilities in
vacations
vaccines
validity: of clinical vs. statistical predictions; evaluating; illusion of
Vallone, Robert
value;
see also
utility Vancouver Island
Venn diagrams
venture capitalists
victim compensation
vividness; of outcomes; of probabilities
vocabulary: of girls vs. boys; simple vs. pretentious
Vohs, Kathleen
vomit
, effect of word
Von Neumann, John
voting
Wainer, Howard
walking
wars
Washington Post, The
wealth,
see
money and wealth
weather
Weber, Ernste>
weight and piano playing, measuring
Weiner, Howard
well-being; climate and; defining; disposition for; duration weighting and;
see also
happiness
West, Richard
what you see is all there is (WYSIATI); confidence and; curriculum team and; Julie
problem and; optimistic bias and; premortem and; professorial candidate problem
and; soldiers’ performance and; Tom W problem and
wheel of fortune
“wicked” environments
Wilson, Timothy
Wimbledon tournament
wine
Winter Olympics
Wisdom of Crowds, The
(Surowiecki)
witnesses’ evidence
Woods, Tiger
words: complex vs. simple; emotionally-loaded
World Cup
World War II
worry
WYSIATI,
see
what you see is all there is
X-rays
Xu, Jing
Yale exam problem
Yom Kippur War
Zajonc, Robert
Zamir, Eyal
Zeller, Kathryn
Zweig, Jason
Zwerling, Harris
P
Farrar, Straus and Giroux
18 West 18th Street, New York 10011
Copyright © 2011 by Daniel Kahneman
All rights reserved
Grateful acknowledgment is made for permission to reprint the following previously
published material: “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” from
Science,
New Series, Vol. 185, No. 4157, copyright © 1974 by Amos Tversky and Dan”0%” te>X-
rays
Science.
“Choices, Values, and Frames” from
The American Psychologist,
copyright
© 1983 by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. Reprinted by permission of the American
Psychological Association.
Grateful acknowledgment is made for permission to reprint the following images:
Image
courtesy of Paul Ekman Group, LLC.
Image
from “Cues of Being Watched Enhance
Cooperation in a Real-World Setting” by Melissa Bateson, Daniel Nettle, and Gilbert
Roberts, Biology Letters
(2006); reprinted by permission of
Biology Letters.
Image
from
Mind Sights
by Roger N. Shepard (New York: W.H. Freeman and Company, 1990);
reprinted by permission of Henry Holt and Company.
Image
from “Human Amygdala
Responsivity to Masked Fearful Eye Whites” by Paul J. Whalen et al., Science
306
(2004). Reprinted by permission of
Science.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Kahneman, Daniel, 1934–
Thinking, fast and slow / Daniel Kahneman.—1st ed.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN:
978-0-3742-7563-1
1. Thought and thinking. 2. Decision making. 3. Intuition. 4. Reasoning. I. Title.
BF441 .K238 2011
153.4‘2—dc23
2011027143
www.fsgbooks.com
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5, 47.
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Feature introduced in detail in part 4.
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Feature introduced in detail in part 4.
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Feature introduced in detail in part 4.
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Feature introduced in detail in part 4.
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Feature introduced in detail in part 4.
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This article originally appeared in
Science
, vol. 185, 1974. The research was supported
by the Advanced Research Projects Agency of the Department of Defense and was
monitored by the Office of Naval Research under contract N00014-73-C-0438 to the
Oregon Research Institute, Eugene. Additional support for this research wass r”0%” wid
provided by the Research and Development Authority of the Hebrew University,
Jerusalem, Israel.
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This article was originally presented as a Distinguished Scientific Contributions Award
address at the American Psychological Association meeting, August 1983. This work was
supported by grant NR 197-058 from the U.S. Office of Naval Research. Originally
published in
American Psychologist
, vol. 34, 1984.
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