Strategy for agricultural transformation in africa

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% people:
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volatility and reliance on imports inhibit growth.
 
In the absence of a transformation, the 
situation will get worse. Given that population growth is projected to outpace production 
increases, without a large-scale, integrated investment strategy Africa will be forced to further 
increase imports to satisfy demand.
 
Figure 4: Africa’s negative net trade will increase significantly in the absence of 
transformation

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Climate change trends are another increasingly important driver for the need for 
transformation.
Agriculture accounts for approximately 14% of greenhouse gas emissions; 
this figure increases to 25% when forestry and other land use is included
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. Major drivers of 
this problem are deforestation, soil and nutrient management, and livestock emissions. In 
general, agriculture is the sector most susceptible to changes in climate patterns because of its 
dependence on the environment. Thus, it is important to note that, although many nations made 
pledges to support developing countries in climate adaptation coming out of the Paris COP in 
2015, most of the implications for agriculture will be indirect, through country-level strategies 
illustrated in Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs)
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. One important 
challenge this presents is that there is no agreed upon way for measuring success and individual 
country commitments vary. 
1.7
 
Africa is, in turn, already disproportionately affected by the impacts of climate