45. TIME PREFERENCE
45. Time Preference
I have assumed that in choosing a principle of
savings the persons in the
original position have no pure time preference. We need to consider the
reasons for this presumption. In the case of an individual the avoidance of
pure time preference is a feature of being rational. As Sidgwick main-
tains, rationality implies an impartial concern for all parts of our life. The
mere difference of location in time, of something’s being earlier or later,
is not in itself a rational ground for having more or less regard for it. Of
course, a present or near future advantage may be counted more heavily
on account of its greater certainty or probability, and we should take into
consideration how our situation and capacity for particular enjoyments
will change. But none of these things justifies our preferring a lesser
present to a greater future good simply because of its nearer temporal
position
22
(§64).
Now Sidgwick thought that the notions of
universal good and individ-
ual good are in essential respects similar. He held that just as the good of
one person is constructed by comparison and integration of the different
goods of each moment as they follow one another in time, so the univer-
sal good is constructed by the comparison and integration of the good of
many different individuals. The relations of the parts to the whole and to
each other are analogous in each case, being founded on the aggregative
principle of utility.
23
The just savings principle for society must not, then,
be affected by pure time preference, since as before
the different temporal
position of persons and generations does not in itself justify treating them
differently.
Since in justice as fairness the principles of justice are not extensions
of the principles of rational choice for one person, the argument against
time preference must be of another kind. The question is settled by
reference to the original position; but once it is seen from this perspec-
tive, we reach the same conclusion. There is no reason for the parties to
give any weight to mere position in time. They have
to choose a rate of
saving for each level of civilization. If they make a distinction between
earlier and more remote periods because, say, future states of affairs seem
less important now, the present state of affairs will seem less important in
the future. Although any decision has to be made now, there is no ground
for their using today’s discount of the future rather than the future’s
22. See
The Methods of Ethics,
7th ed. (London, Macmillan, 1907), p. 381. Time preference is also
rejected by Ramsey, “A Mathematical Theory of Saving.”
23.
Methods of Ethics,
p. 382. See also §30, note 37.
259
45. Time Preference
discount of today. The situation is symmetrical and one choice is as
arbitrary as the other.
24
Since the persons in the original position take up
the standpoint of each period, being subject to the veil of ignorance, this
symmetry is clear to them and they will not consent to a principle that
weighs nearer periods more or less heavily. Only in this way can they
arrive at a consistent agreement from all points of view, for to acknowl-
edge a principle of time preference is to authorize persons differently
situated temporally to assess one another’s
claims by different weights
based solely on this contingency.
As with rational prudence, the rejection of pure time preference is not
incompatible with taking uncertainties and changing circumstances into
account; nor does it rule out using an interest rate (in either a socialist or
a private-property economy) to ration limited funds for investment. The
restriction is rather that in first principles of justice we are not allowed to
treat generations differently solely on the grounds that they are earlier or
later in time. The original position is so defined that it leads to the correct
principle in this respect. In the case of the individual, pure time prefer-
ence is irrational: it means that he is not viewing all moments as equally
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