Three broad conclusions emerge from the foregoing discussion:
1. American engagement in the cause of European unification is needed to compensate for the internal crisis
of morale and purpose that has been sapping European vitality, to overcome the widespread European suspicion
that ultimately America does not favor genuine European unity, and to infuse into the European undertaking the
needed dose of democratic fervor. That requires a clear-cut American commitment to the eventual acceptance
of Europe as America's global partner.
2. In the short run, tactical opposition to French policy and sup port for German leadership is justified; in the
longer run, European unity will have to involve a more distinctive European political and military identity if a
genuine Europe is actually to become reality. That requires some progressive accommodation to the French
view regarding the distribution of power within transatlantic institutions.
3. Neither France nor Germany is sufficiently strong to con struct Europe on its own or to resolve with Russia
the ambiguities inherent in the definition of Europe's geographic scope. That re quires energetic, focused, and
determined American involvement, particularly with the Germans, in defining Europe's scope and hence also in
coping with such sensitive—especially to Russia—issues as the eventual status within the European system of
the Baltic republics and Ukraine.
Just one glance at the map of the vast Eurasian landmass underlines the geopolitical significance to America
of the European bridgehead—as well as its geographic modesty. The preservation of that bridgehead and its
expansion as the springboard for democracy are directly relevant to America's security.
The existing gap
between America's global concern for stability and for the related dissemination of democracy and Europe's
seeming indifference to these issues (despite France's self-proclaimed status as a global power) needs to be
closed, and it can only be narrowed if Europe increasingly assumes a more confederated character. Europe
cannot become a single nation-state, because of the tenacity of its diverse national traditions, but it can become
an entity that through common political institutions cumulatively reflects shared democratic values, identifies
its own interests
with their universal-ization, and exercises a magnetic attraction on its co-inhabitants of the
Eurasian space.
Left to themselves, thc Europeans run the risk of becoming absorbed by their internal social concerns. Europe's
economic recovery has obscured the longer-run costs of its seeming success. These costs are damaging
economically as well as politically. The crisis of political legitimacy and economic vitality that Western Europe
increasingly confronts—but is unable to overcome—is deeply rooted in the pervasive expansion of the state-
sponsored social structure that favors paternalism,
protectionism, and parochialism. The result is a cultural
condition that combines escapist hedonism with spiritual emptiness—a condition that can be exploited by
nationalist extremists or dogmatic ideologues.
This condition, if it becomes rampant, could prove deadly to democracy and the idea of Europe. The two, in
fact, are linked, for the new problems of Europe—be they immigration or economic-technological
competitiveness
with America or Asia, not to speak of the need for a politically stable reform of existing
socioeco-nomic structures—can only be dealt with effectively in an increasingly continental context. A Europe
that is larger than the sum of its parts—that is, a Europe that sees a global role for itself in the promotion of
democracy and in the wider proselytization of basic human values—is more likely to be a Europe that is firmly
uncongenial to political extremism, narrow nationalism, or social hedonism.
One need neither evoke the old fears of a separate German-Russian accommodation nor exaggerate the
consequences of French tactical flirtation with Moscow to entertain concern for the geopolitical stability of
Europe—and for America's place in it—resulting from a failure of Europe's still ongoing efforts to unite. Any
such failure would in fact probably entail some renewed and rather traditional European maneuvers. It would
certainly generate opportunities for either Russian or German
geopolitical self-assertion, though if Europe's
modern history contains any lesson, neither would be likely to gain an enduring success in that regard.
However, at the very least, Germany would probably become more assertive and explicit in the definition of its
national interests.
Currently, Germany's interests are congruent with, and even sublimated within, those of the EU and of
NATO. Even the spokesmen for the leftist Alliance 90/Greens have advocated
the expansion of both NATO
and the EU. But if the unification and enlargement of Europe should stall, there is some reason to assume that a
more nationalist definition of Germany's concept of the European "order" would then surface, to the potential
detriment of European stability. Wolfgang Schauble, the leader of the Christian Democrats in the Bundestag
and a possible successor to Chancellor Kohl, expressed that mindset when he stated that Germany is no longer
"the western bulwark against the East; we have become the center of Europe," pointedly adding that in "the
long periods during the Middle Ages... Germany was involved in creating order in Europe. "4
In this vision,
Mitteleuropa—instead of being a European region in which Germany economically preponderates—would
become an area of overt German political primacy as well as the basis for a more unilateral German policy vis-
a-vis the East and the West.
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