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MODULE NAME AND CODE
Topics in Macroeconomics - 6ECON023C
CW WEIGHTING
40%
LECTURER SETTING THE TASK WITH
CONTACT DETAILS AND OFFICE
HOURS
Bilol Buzurukov
Office Hours: Wednesday 09:00 - 11:00
Tel.: (+998) 71 2387418 Extension: 644 (office)
Email:
bbuzurukov@wiut.uz
GROUP FORMATION DEADLINE
September 23
rd
, 2020
SUBMISSION DEADLINE
Thursday, February 13
th
, 2020;
Time: 17:00
PRESENTATION WEEK
Teaching Week 6: February 17
th
, 2020 – February 21
st
, 2020
PRESENTATION PARTICIPATION
Mandatory
RESULTS DATE AND TYPE OF
FEEDBACK
Results Date: One month after the submission
Written Feedback: Two weeks after the submission
Oral Feedback: During the presentation
THE CW CHECKS THE FOLLOWING LEARNING OUTCOMES:
Demonstrate the awareness of recent research and debates around it;
Understand, handle and interpret key macroeconomic data within the analysis;
Demonstrate the ability to use and apply with some confidence, standard algebraic, statistical and diagrammatic
representations of relevant models;
Demonstrate the ability to critically assess and use macroeconomic principles and concepts.
GENERAL DESCRIPTION
The following coursework assesses student’s ability to critically analyze and write a solid report discussing key macroeconomic
issues.
Each team should consist of 5 students who belong to the same group (E.g. 6EC1 etc.). The students should set up their own
teams based on mutual respect and understanding.
Deadline for group formation is September 23
rd
, 2020. After the deadline, the students will not be allowed to swap or change their
teams. The groups – for those students who could not (did not want to) join to any group – will be randomly formed by the
Module Leader. If these students find themselves in smaller groups, it is their full responsibility to bear all the difficulties of the
CW tasks and the presentation. Participation in the CW presentation is compulsory, in other words, the students who do not attend
the presentation will receive ZERO mark.
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CW TASK
Each team chooses two groups of countries where they must demonstrate the ability to write a comparative analysis with
related literature review.
To complete the assignment the following tasks should be accomplished:
1. The students should choose two groups of countries each containing minimum of five countries. The choice of the
countries should be according to the following criterions:
The first group of countries should consider five Central Asian countries, which are located geographically
close to each other. Explain basic similarities of these nations based on ethnicity, linguistic and traditions.
The second group of countries should be chosen in a similar vein, which are located geographically close,
whose people are ethnically alike, speak similar languages and share similar cultural norms and traditions.
The locations of the second country-group should be in different geographical vicinity. To form the second
country-group, the students may consider countries from Africa, Europe, South America, Central America, East
Asia, Middle East, Oceania etc.
People from two country-groups preferably should speak different languages, and share relatively different
traditions and cultural norms. Practicing religion is an exception, the students may choose two country-groups
in which the dominant religion is the same.
Overall, the students should provide relevant arguments that people from two country-groups are different. This
fact is important to make comparative analysis of two country-groups in later tasks.
Provide relevant evidence for the choice of countries that meet the country specification criterion. (15 marks)
Note: The right choice of countries for the second country-group is very important for the quality, success and easy
conduct of the work.
2. Review only three academic journal articles that discuss cross-country comparative analysis of macroeconomic factors.
The students are encouraged to choose academic articles that conduct comparative analysis of country-groups. If the
students are not able to find group-wise comparative studies (e.g. Central Asian countries versus African countries, Latin
American countries versus North American countries, etc.) then they may consider individual country comparative
studies (e.g. Russia versus China, Japan versus Korea, etc.). While reviewing the papers particular emphasis should be
given to the data description, the empirical methodology and the key findings of the literature. (15 marks)
Note: If the literature studies the relevant topic in line with the countries under the observation then it would ease the
task.
3. Obtain relevant macroeconomic statistics – GDP, GDP per capita, Unemployment rate, Inflation rate, Government
budget, Public debt, etc. – and critically analyze the recent development trends in both country-groups. Furthermore, a
special emphasis should be given to social and political factors of each country that lead to positive or negative economic
outcomes. The use of comparative analysis within (single country-group) and between the country-groups is highly
recommended. (20 marks)
Note: Time-series data should be considered for within group comparative analysis and aggregated-mean data for
between country-groups. The data should start at least from 1991 or 1992.Exceptions can be made if the data misses for
earlier years.
4. Conduct the regression analysis of economic growth for both country-groups:
Specify the dependent variable as GDP per capita and construct relevant determinants of the regressand;
Estimate the results using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS);
Provide the regression results estimated with and without robust standard errors;
Conduct specification tests to avoid biased outcomes;
Interpret the results and compare the findings of both country-groups. (25 marks)
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Note: The students can apply more advanced econometric models – such as 2SLS or GMM – if they are really aware of
using these tools. Blindly applying the advanced econometric tools in the analysis is strongly discouraged.
5. Considering the countries under the observation, explain and test the convergence hypotheses within and between the
country-groups. To accomplish this task, consider the following two conditions: First, find the average economic growth
of each country for the available years under observation and then graphically check whether the countries’ growth
levels converge in some point. Second, if there is not a possibility of convergence in the first case then consider that the
most developed country (within the group) is in steady state with no future growth or decline, while less developed
countries’ economies grow with a rate of X, which is the average economic growth of each less developed country.
Within the group analysis: how long will it take to less developed countries to reach the growth level of the
most developed country (in the country-group)? Provide the graphical representations of convergence points for
both country-groups, individually;
Between the group analyses: using the aggregated-mean statistics of each country-group, plot and graphically
demonstrate the convergence points of both groups. Examine the probability whether the growth levels of two
country-groups converge in the future;
Provide only two (maximum three) tools/suggestions that would stabilize the economy and facilitate the
economic growth of the less developed country-group;
Try to explain the reasons, why the economic growth in these two country-groups is different?
Conclusion. (25 marks)
ASSESSMENT CRITERIA
In undertaking coursework, students should be able to select pairs of country-groups that meet the selection criteria. While
reviewing the relevant literature, the students should discuss the key findings and contributions of each paper. They should be
able to find relevant statistics and assess the quality of each data based on the reliable data-sources. In the third part of the course
work, the students should be able to employ relevant comparative analyses techniques that are easy to follow and show the factual
differences in macroeconomic factors. The students should demonstrate proper econometric skills to derive robust statistical
evidences that are supported by relevant empirical models and specification tests. In the last part of the coursework, the students
should provide clear policy suggestions that would serve for effective economic growth. Finally, they should be able to
demonstrate high-level presentational skills, including logical ordering of material, satisfactory use of English and referencing.
High grades are awarded for:
high quality works that are in line with the coursework requirements;
selecting unique pair of country-groups;
reviewing relevant literature;
conducting professional econometric analysis;
demonstrating good interpretation of the results supported by the previous literature;
suggesting effective policies and tools in stimulating economic development.
High grades excel in at least one of these criteria:
Comprehensiveness and accuracy; clarity of argument and expression;
Specific and clear discussions of current debates.
Middle grades demonstrate a good understanding of relevant details and a sound grasp of basic principles.
A low grade demonstrates some knowledge and/or understanding of the general idea but lacks in the following:
Descriptive only;
Does not answer the question directly;
Misses key points;
Contains inaccuracies;
Assertions not supported by author or evidence.
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Answers in a borderline fail typically:
Only cursorily cover the basic material;
There are no evidences or arguments.
Format of the coursework:
All copy of the paper should be typed in 12-pt Times New Roman font and Line Spacing 1.5-lines;
Tables and figures should be prepared for communication of results and presented within the body of the paper;
If there are footnotes, they should be placed at the bottom of each page;
Citations and references should be presented at the end of the paper.
Word limit instructions are provided in the coursework submission form.
General requirements for the coursework
Important:
The coursework should be prepared by all members of each team;
Plagiarism will not be tolerated, so clear and detailed reference should be provided;
You have to submit one hardcopy version of your CW to Registrar’s office and electronic version to
www.turnitin.com
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