2007 Annual International CHRIE Conference & Exposition
19
FORECASTING TOURISM ECONOMIC IMPACTS: THE IMPLICATIONS OF A REGIONAL
DESTINATION
Rachel J.C. Chen
Hotel, Restaurant, and Tourism Management
The University of Tennessee
Knoxville, Tennessee, USA
ABSTRACT
Studies concerned with forecasting the visitation figures integrated with the tourism economic impact
assessment are rare in the literature. This study focuses firstly on illustrating the importance of the input-output
(I/O) modeling and direct, indirect, and induced effects. The second focus of the study is to present a forecasted
economic impact assessment (EIA) by using an I/O model and forecasts (including future visitations and projected
spending profiles) under the Impact Analysis for Planning (IMPLAN) system to estimate the forecasted EIA of a
selected regional destination in the US.
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