12-7
A Concluding Reminder
In this chapter we have examined how a small open economy works in the short
run when prices are sticky. We have seen how monetary, fiscal, and trade policy
influence income and the exchange rate, as well as how the behavior of the econ-
omy depends on whether the exchange rate is floating or fixed. In closing, it is
worth repeating a lesson from Chapter 5. Many countries, including the United
States, are neither closed economies nor small open economies: they lie some-
where in between.
A large open economy, such as that of the United States, combines the behav-
ior of a closed economy and the behavior of a small open economy. When ana-
lyzing policies in a large open economy, we need to consider both the
closed-economy logic of Chapter 11 and the open-economy logic developed in
this chapter. The appendix to this chapter presents a model for a large open
economy. The results of that model are, as one would guess, a mixture of the two
polar cases we have already examined.
To see how we can draw on the logic of both the closed and small open
economies and apply these insights to the United States, consider how a mone-
tary contraction affects the economy in the short run. In a closed economy, a
monetary contraction raises the interest rate, lowers investment, and thus lowers
aggregate income. In a small open economy with a floating exchange rate, a
monetary contraction raises the exchange rate, lowers net exports, and thus low-
ers aggregate income. The interest rate is unaffected, however, because it is deter-
mined by world financial markets.
The U.S. economy contains elements of both cases. Because the United
States is large enough to affect the world interest rate and because capital is not
perfectly mobile across countries, a monetary contraction does raise the inter-
est rate and depress investment. At the same time, a monetary contraction also
raises the value of the dollar, thereby depressing net exports. Hence, although
the Mundell–Fleming model does not precisely describe an economy like that
of the United States, it does predict correctly what happens to international
variables such as the exchange rate, and it shows how international interactions
alter the effects of monetary and fiscal policies.
C H A P T E R 1 2
The Open Economy Revisited: The Mundell-Fleming Model and the Exchange-Rate Regime
| 369
Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |