The Security Characteristic Line for Hewlett-Packard
The index model regression Equation 8.8 restated for Hewlett-Packard (HP) is
R
HP
(t) 5 a
HP
1 b
HP
R
S&P500
(t) 1 e
HP
(t)
The equation describes the (linear) dependence of HP’s excess return on changes in the
state of the economy as represented by the excess returns of the S&P 500 index portfolio.
The regression estimates describe a straight line with intercept a
HP
and slope b
HP
, which
we call the security characteristic line (SCL) for HP.
Figure 8.2 shows a graph of the excess returns on HP and the S&P 500 portfolio over
the 60-month period. The graph shows that HP returns generally follow those of the index,
but with much larger swings. Indeed, the annualized standard deviation of the excess return
on the S&P 500 portfolio over the period was 13.58%, while that of HP was 38.17%. The
swings in HP’s excess returns suggest a greater-than-average sensitivity to the index, that
is, a beta greater than 1.0.
The relationship between the returns of HP and the S&P 500 is made clearer by the
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