Investments, tenth edition



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Book-to-Market

Size

Low

Medium

High

Average annual excess returns* (%)

Small


6.19

12.24


17.19

Medium


6.93

10.43


13.94

Big


7.08

 8.52


9.5

Consumption beta*

Small


3.46

 4.26


5.94

Medium


2.88

 4.35


5.71

Big


3.39

 2.83


4.41

 Table 13.5 

 Annual excess returns and 

consumption betas 

  *Average annual excess returns on the 25 Fama-French portfolios from 1954 to 2003. 

Consumption betas estimated by the time series regression   

  R



i,t

 5 a


i

 1 b


i,c

g

ct

 1 e


i,t 

,

 where  R  



 i,  t 

  is the excess return over the risk-free rate, and  g  

 ct 

  is annual consumption growth 

calculated using fourth-quarter consumption data.  

 Source: Ravi Jagannathan and Yong Wang, “Lazy Investors, Discretionary Consumption, and the 

Cross-Section of Stock Returns,”  Journal of Finance  62 (August 2006), pp. 1623–61. 

38

 C. J. Malloy, T. Moskowitz, and A. Vissing-Jørgensen, “Long-Run Stockholder Consumption Risk and Asset 



Returns,”  Journal of Finance  64 (December 2009), pp. 2427–80. 

 Figure 13.7 

Cross section of stock returns: Fama-French 25 

portfolios, 1954–2003  

  Annual excess returns and consumption betas. This figure plots the average 

annual excess returns on the 25 Fama-French portfolios and their consumption 

betas. Each two-digit number represents one portfolio. The first digit refers to 

the size quintile (1  5  smallest, 5  5  largest), and the second digit refers to the 

book-to-market quintile (1  5  lowest, 5  5  highest).  

Excess Returns (%)

0

1



2

Consumption Betas

3

4

5



6

7

8



10

8

52



41

31

21



11

51

42



53

22

54



55

3233


43

13

44



34

23

24



14

25

15



35

1245


6

4

2



0

20

18



16

14

12



bod61671_ch13_414-444.indd   437

bod61671_ch13_414-444.indd   437

7/17/13   3:47 PM

7/17/13   3:47 PM

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438 

P A R T   I I I

  Equilibrium in Capital Markets


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