Political Risk
In principle, security analysis at the macroeconomic, industry, and firm-specific level is
similar in all countries. Such analysis aims to provide estimates of expected returns and
risk of individual assets and portfolios. However, to achieve the same quality of informa-
tion about assets in a foreign country is by nature more difficult and hence more expensive.
Moreover, the risk of coming by false or misleading information is greater.
If the forward exchange rate in Example 25.1 had been F
0
5 $1.93/£ when the invest-
ment was made, the U.S. investor could have assured a riskless dollar-denominated
return by arranging to deliver the £11,000 at the forward exchange rate of $1.93/£. In
this case, the riskless U.S. return would then have been 6.15%:
[1 1 r
f
(UK)]F
0
/E
0
5 (1.10)1.93/2.00 5 1.0615
Example 25.2
Hedging Exchange Rate Risk
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