C H A P T E R 1 9
E A R N I N G S A N D D I S C R I M I N AT I O N
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C A S E S T U D Y
HUMAN CAPITAL,
NATURAL ABILITY, AND
COMPULSORY SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
Does attending school increase wages because it increases productivity, or does
it only appear to increase productivity because
high-ability people are more
likely to stay in school? This question is important both for judging the various
theories of education and for evaluating alternative education policies.
If economists could conduct controlled experiments like laboratory scien-
tists, it would be easy to answer this question. We could choose some experi-
mental subjects from the school-age population and then randomly divide them
into various groups. For each group we could require
a different amount of
school attendance. By comparing the difference in the educational attainment
and the difference in subsequent wages of the various groups, we could see
whether education does in fact increase productivity. Because the groups would
be chosen randomly, we could be sure that the difference in wages was not at-
tributable to a difference in natural ability.
Although conducting such an experiment might seem difficult, the laws of
the United States inadvertently provide a natural experiment that is quite simi-
lar. All students in the United States are required by law to attend school, but
the laws vary from state to state. Some states allow students to drop out at age
view, when people earn a college degree, for instance, they do not become more
productive, but they do
signal
their high ability to prospective employers. Because
it is easier for high-ability people to earn a college degree than it is for low-ability
people, more high-ability people get college degrees. As a result, it is rational for
firms to interpret a college degree as a signal of ability.
The signaling theory of education is similar to the signaling theory of adver-
tising discussed in Chapter 17. In the signaling theory of advertising, the adver-
tisement itself contains no real information, but the firm signals the quality of its
product to consumers by its willingness to spend money on advertising. In the
signaling theory of education, schooling has no real productivity benefit, but the
worker signals his innate productivity to employers by his willingness to spend
years at school. In both cases, an action is being taken not for its intrinsic benefit
but because the willingness to take that action conveys private information to
someone observing it.
Thus, we now have two views of education: the human-capital theory and the
signaling theory. Both views can explain why more educated workers tend to earn
more than less educated workers. According to the human-capital view, education
makes workers more productive; according to the signaling view, education is cor-
related with natural ability. But the two views have radically
different predictions
for the effects of policies that aim to increase educational attainment. According to
the human-capital view, increasing educational levels for all workers would raise
all workers’ productivity and thereby their wages. According to the signaling
view, education does not enhance productivity, so raising all workers’ educational
levels would not affect wages.
Most likely, truth lies somewhere between these two extremes. The benefits to
education are probably a combination of the productivity-enhancing effects of hu-
man capital and the productivity-revealing effects of signaling. The open question
is the relative size of these two effects.
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PA R T S I X
T H E E C O N O M I C S O F L A B O R M A R K E T S
16, while others require attendance until age 17 or 18. Moreover, the laws have
changed over time. Between 1970 and 1980, for instance, Wyoming reduced the
school-attendance age from 17 to 16, while Washington raised it from 16 to 18.
This variation across states and over time provides data with which to study the
effects of compulsory school attendance.
Even within a state, school-attendance laws have different effects on differ-
ent people. Students start attending school at different ages, depending on the
month of the year in which they were born. Yet all students can drop out as
soon as they reach the minimum legal age; they are not required to finish out
the school year. As
a result, those who start school at a relatively young age are
required to spend more time in school than those who start school at a relatively
old age. This variation across students within a state also provides a way to
study the effects of compulsory attendance.
In an article published in the November 1991 issue of the
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