The Economist
September 5th 2020
41
1
W
hen he was
a boy, Abe Shinzo as-
pired to make films. His family his-
tory—he is the grandson of a prime minis-
ter and the son of a foreign minister—set
him on a different path (see Books & arts
section). Yet as a politician, he strived to
change the stories that Japan tells about it-
self. “If the Japanese need one thing now,
that thing is confidence—the ability to turn
our faces to the sun, like the sunflower
does when it blooms at the height of sum-
mer,” Mr Abe said after becoming prime
minister for the second time, in 2012.
His departure did not follow the script.
Mr Abe announced his resignation on Au-
gust 28th, citing a bout of ulcerative colitis,
a chronic intestinal disease. Instead of
leaving in the afterglow of the Olympic
Games, he is departing amid a pandemic.
His successor will inherit the fight against
the virus, along with other challenges: an
economy battered by covid-19, a shrinking
population, the growing assertiveness of
China and an unpredictable ally in Ameri-
ca. Yet Mr Abe will be remembered as trans-
formative, not least because, after the dol-
drums of the “lost decades”, when the
economy stagnated, he fostered hope that
Japan’s problems could be solved. “Abe
changed the narrative,” says Mireya Solís of
the Brookings Institution, a think-tank. Al-
though his government’s approval rating
had been dire, in a poll after he resigned
74% of Japanese gave it their approval.
Mr Abe’s first stint as prime minister,
starting in 2006, lasted little more than a
year and was also ended by ill health. In the
next five years Japan cycled through five
prime ministers. Mr Abe’s Liberal Demo-
cratic Party (
ldp
) fell out of power for only
the second time since his grandfather
helped found it in 1955. By the time Mr Abe
returned to power, he had concluded that
he must have a convincing economic agen-
da to provide the popular support he need-
ed to pursue his foreign- and security-poli-
cy priorities.
Mr Abe moved first to centralise the ma-
chinery of the state. He created a personnel
bureau that gave politicians power to ap-
point bureaucrats, and set up a national se-
curity council. He increased the size of the
cabinet secretariat that directly supports
the prime minister by more than half. Ja-
pan had 16 prime ministers between 1989
and 2012, with an average tenure of 538
days; Mr Abe’s second term stretched for
more than 2,800 days. His ability to bal-
ance factions in his party and command
the civil service gave him a longevity that
bred credibility at home and abroad.
The trust Mr Abe earned from foreign
leaders enabled Japan to play a bigger role
in the world, while upholding the post-war
liberal order that has bolstered Japan’s
prosperity. He faced down the powerful
farm lobby and joined the Trans-Pacific
Partnership, a big regional trade pact, pro-
moting it even after America pulled out. He
inked an Economic Partnership Agreement
Japanese politics
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