How bad could it get? America’s ugly election



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The Economist - UK 2020-09-05

Silencing the critics

Mr Rusesabagina’s pragmatic heroism won

him a Hollywood film deal, international

praise and an admiring audience in Ameri-

ca, which became a donor to the new gov-

ernment established by Paul Kagame, a for-

mer rebel leader. But the regime chafed at

Mr Rusesabagina’s outspoken criticism of

the Tutsi elite now running the country. He

poured scorn on Rwanda’s rigged elections

and mocked what he saw as token attempts

at ethnic reconciliation. “We have changed

the dancers but the music remains the

same,” he wrote in a memoir. 

On social media Mr Kagame’s backers

are circulating a clip filmed in 2018 which

appears to mark the moment when Mr Ru-

sesabagina came out in favour of armed

struggle. “The time has come for us to use

any means possible to bring about change

in Rwanda,” he said, calling on Rwandans

to support the National Liberation Front,

the armed wing of a coalition of opposition

groups which included his own. “All politi-

cal means have been tried and failed.” 

His family insist the 66-year-old grand-

father never actually intended to incite vio-

lence, which he abhorred. Anyway, the

much-hyped opposition coalition he was

part of has largely collapsed since he made

the statement, suggesting he posed no real

security threat to Rwanda. 

This makes Mr Rusesabagina’s rendi-

tion all the more surprising, given the in-

ternational condemnation it courts. The

real motive may have been jealousy, says a

former confidant of Mr Kagame: “There can

only be one post-genocide hero in Rwanda

and that’s Kagame. He wasn’t going to share

the limelight with anyone.” 

The operation is the most brazen that

his government has launched against per-

ceived enemies abroad. Quick to remind

the international community that it did

nothing to stop the genocide, Rwanda’s

leaders see Israel as a model and inspira-

tion. This extends to the efforts of the Israe-

li security services to track down and ab-

duct or kill those deemed enemies of the

state abroad. 

Ever since a former Rwandan interior

minister, Seth Sendashonga, was shot dead

in Nairobi in 1998—an assassination for

which disillusioned members of Mr Ka-

game’s intelligence apparatus have since

admitted responsibility—the government

has shown the same readiness to ignore

borders. In South Africa at least three at-

tempts have been made on the life of an ex-

iled former army chief-of-staff, Kayumba

Nyamwasa, prompting the government to

expel Rwandan diplomats suspected of ar-

ranging the attacks. In early 2014 Patrick

Karegeya, a former external intelligence

chief, was found strangled in a Johannes-

burg hotel. Mr Kagame, who had known

both men since childhood, denies respon-

sibility. But the magistrate at Karegeya’s in-

quest ruled that the attackers were “di-

rectly linked” to Rwanda’s government.

In February Kizito Mihigo, a gospel

singer, died in Rwandan police custody.

Friends reject official claims that the young

man hanged himself. Last month a Congo-

lese gynaecologist, Denis Mukwege, who

won the Nobel peace prize for his work

with rape victims, said he had had a stream

of death threats after calling for those re-

sponsible for human-rights abuses in the

east of the Democratic Republic of Congo to

be held accountable. 

un

reports accuse the



Rwandan army of committing mass atroc-

ities there in the late 1990s.

A Rwandan human-rights campaigner,

Rene Mugenzi, who describes Mr Rusesa-

bagina’s arrest as a “kidnapping” since no

extradition hearing was held, sees the lat-

est operation as evidence of extreme intol-

erance by a regime whose impressive eco-

nomic development has never been

matched by a respect for human rights:

“The risk Rusesabagina represented to Ka-

game was reputational, not military. He

could reach places in the American estab-

lishment that matter to Kigali. Now they

want to destroy his reputation in court.” 

7

A hero and a pretender



A

s celebrations go

, it was sombre. A

century earlier French officials stood

in Beirut’s imposing Résidence des Pins

(the French ambassador’s villa) and carved

Lebanon out of their mandate in Syria. On

September 1st Emmanuel Macron travelled

there to mark the event—and to lecture the

politicians who have helped turn Lebanon

into a failed state.

Lebanon has always been a plaything

for foreign powers. America, Iran, Israel,

Saudi Arabia and Syria have all meddled in

the tiny country’s tortured politics. As Leb-

anon sinks into economic and humanitar-

ian crisis, two of its old colonial masters,

France and Turkey, are making worrying

bids for renewed influence.

This was Mr Macron’s second visit since

a massive explosion at Beirut’s port on Au-

gust 4th killed almost 200 people. The

prime minister, Hassan Diab, resigned

soon afterwards. For weeks the president,

Michel Aoun, declined to consult parlia-

ment about a successor. But he abruptly

summoned 

mp

s to meet on August 31st.



Wags likened him to a child rushing to fin-

ish his homework before daddy returned.

Mr Macron speaks for many when he

calls for political change in Lebanon, ruled

for decades by a coterie of ageing, corrupt

men who deploy fear and exploit sectarian

loyalties to stay in power. “The objective of

this visit is clearly to mark the end to a po-

litical chapter,” Mr Macron said. Yet the

man who will lead this new beginning is

hardly a break from the past. The unexpect-

ed choice for prime minister was Mustapha

Adib, Lebanon’s ambassador to Germany,

who won the support of 90 

mp

s out of 128.



For many, that very support makes Mr

Adib suspect. He is a political unknown,

but hardly an outsider. He advised Najib

Mikati, a billionaire businessman who

served two stints as prime minister and is

battling corruption charges. Mr Adib won

the backing of Saad Hariri, another billion-

aire ex-prime minister and the country’s

leading Sunni politician. The two main

Shia parties, Hizbullah and Amal, and Mr

Aoun’s Christian allies are also behind

him. A man handpicked by the establish-

ment is unlikely to confront it.

Even a genuine reformer would be over-

whelmed by Lebanon’s problems. Its econ-

omy has collapsed. The currency has lost

80% of its value on the black market since

October. Annual inflation hit 112% in July;

food prices leapt fourfold. Over half of Leb-

B E I RU T




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