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Hard power fails to stop proliferation- North Korea proves
Hassan 6 [Jawhar, Staff Writer, October 8, New Straits Times, Lexis]
Every nuclear weapon state cites deterrence as a justification for possessing nuclear weapons. Nuclear deterrence is a central defence doctrine of countries like the US. If nuclear deterrence is legitimate and respectable for them, then North Korea and any other country facing a threat can lay claim to the same. Indeed, in the case of North Korea, the nuclear threat to it was actual and credible, and the US continues to threaten the country with regime change and sanctions that undermine its vital economic interests. How serious was North Korea with its test announcement last week? Is it soon to become the world's eighth declared nuclear weapon state, if it is not already one? Nobody knows. Periodic brinkmanship is a tactic Pyongyang employs to extract concessions and deter pressure. North Korea's statement appears to be designed to leave the door open for negotiations. It merely talks of a test "in the future". It cites the "US extreme threat of a nuclear war and sanctions and pressure". North Korea's funds abroad, vital for its survival, are being increasingly squeezed by the US. Since September last year, the US is reported to have persuaded 24 banks in several countries, including China, Mongolia, Vietnam and Singapore, to shut down North Korean accounts. But, still, nobody knows whether it is merely a negotiating ploy or North Korea means what it says, and will go ahead and test. The US and some other countries are not taking chances and have issued stern warnings of dire consequences if North Korea proceeds.
Only soft power solves proliferation- alternatives provoke continued weapons production
Hayes 9 [Peter, Professor of International Relations, RMIT University The Asia-Pacific Journal, December 14, http://www.japanfocus.org/-Peter-Hayes/3268]
A completely non-nuclear strategy to deter and defend against DPRK threat of attack is militarily feasible. Indeed, although the United States has kept a target list for nuclear attack in North Korea and allocated warheads and delivery systems to implement the nuclear war plan at all times, the non-nuclear defeat of the DPRK has been the primary basis for military war planning in the Korean Peninsula since the withdrawal of American nuclear weapons in 1992 (and some would argue in the US Army, for decades before 1992). Making a solely non-nuclear strategy explicit would devalue the DPRK’s nuclear weapons far more effectively than reliance upon END. Reasserting US nuclear threat via reinforced END simply validates the DPRK’s nuclear breakout in their own and third party eyes and provides de facto recognition that the DPRK is an actual nuclear weapon state requiring a deterrent response. The North Koreans themselves have pointed this out: Ultimately, the stipulation of the "extended deterrence" in writing does nothing but add more legitimacy to our possession of nuclear deterrence and will only result in bringing on themselves a tragic situation that will bring the fiery shower of our nuclear retaliation over South Korea in an "emergency.
Soft Power Solves Terrorism
Soft power stops terrorism - hedges against provocation
Nye and Owens 96 [Joseph S. , Jr. dean of the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University William A. former admiral in the United States Navy, Institute of Communication Studies, March/April http://ics.leeds.ac.uk/papers/vp01.cfm?outfit=pmt&requesttimeout=500&folder=49&paper=155]
The premature end of what Time magazine founder Henry Luce termed the American century has been declared more than once by disciples of decline. In truth, the 21st century, not the twentieth, will turn out to be the period of America's greatest preeminence. Information is the new coin of the international realm, and the United States is better positioned than any other country to multiply the potency of its hard and soft power resources through information. This does not mean that the United States can act unilaterally, much less coercively, to achieve its international goals. The beauty of information as a power resource is that, while it can enhance the effectiveness of raw military power, it ineluctably democratizes societies. The communist and authoritarian regimes that hoped to maintain their centralized authority while still reaping the economic and military benefits of information technologies discovered they had signed a Faustian bargain. The United States can increase the effectiveness of its military forces and make the world safe for soft power, America's inherent comparative advantage. Yet, a strategy based on America's information advantage and soft power has some prerequisites. The necessary defense technologies and programs, ISR, C4I, and precision force, must be adequately funded.... Global Warmning Turns Middle East Stability
Soft Power Sovles Russian Instability
Alliances promote Russian Stability
Moisi 8 [Dominique, Staff Writer, July 2, The Japan Times, Lexis]
If it is to remain a "Western Alliance" in a "globalized" world, must it define a much clearer relationship with Russia without giving the Kremlin a veto in the Alliance? Or will NATO eventually become an "alliance for stability" that includes all the new powers - China, India, and Brazil, not to mention Russia - of the emerging "multipolar world"? One thing is certain; a "shrinking West," as long as it retains some influence, must create the best institutions it can during the time it still has.
Soft Power Solves Bioterrorism
Soft power solves biological terrorism
DPJ 99 [Democratic Party of Japan, June, http://www.dpj.or.jp/english/policy/security.html]
On the other hand, the end of this era of ideological confrontation has removed the pressing weight of the superpowers, and brought about frequent regional conflicts. They are based on ethnic, religious and resource-related issues and economic difficulties. The nature of conflict has also diversified from clashes between nations to terrorism and guerilla activities in which the main agents are religious and ethnic groups, for example, rather than states. New threats are emerging, such as the improved performance and proliferation of missiles, computer-hacking and attacks on information systems and the localized use of biological and chemical weapons away from the battlefield. The world needs to develop diverse military and non-military responses to these new threats.
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