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Turkish stability key to Iraq and Iran stability
Giragosian 8 [Richard, analyst specializing in international relations, June 11, Turkish Policy Quarterly, Vol. 6, Pg 32, http://www.esiweb.org/pdf/esi_turkey_tpq_vol6_no4_richardgiragosian.pdf]
The degree of internal change is matched by an equally dynamic readjustment to Turkey’s strategic orientation, bolstered by the imperative to address a set of external challenges. And just as Turkish identity is very much a product of its geography and history, its strategic signifi cance is also rooted in both geopolitics and geography. This convergence of geopolitics and geography as a key driver for Turkey’s enhanced strategic importance is also a refl ection of Turkey’s position as a stable, strong and secular state fi rmly anchored along the European- Middle Eastern axis. As scholar Parag Khanna recently noted in his impressive study of globalization and geopolitics, “Turkey is one of Europe’s two main prongs to the East, and the gateway to the world’s principal danger zone of Syria, Iraq and Iran.”2
Turkish Stability Solves Fundamentalism
Turkish stability solve fundamentalist extremism
Liu 3 [Henry C K, chairman of the New York-based Liu Investment Group. November 20, Asian Times, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/EK20Ak05.html]
In terms of Turkish security and longer term stability, the impoverished and remote Kurdish regions of Eastern Turkey pose a formidable challenge for the Turkish military. The most productive strategy in dealing with this threat is one of stabilization, through economic development. And as these Kurdish regions would be the fi rst to benefi t from border trade with neighboring Armenia, the reopening of the Turkish-Armenian border offers the only real key to stability and security. Such an economic view of Turkish national security is also essential to ensuring a more comprehensive approach to containing and combating support for extremism. This is especially critical in light of the January 2007 operation by the Turkish police that effectively dismantled an Islamist network (with alleged al-Qaeda links) in fi ve separate Turkish provinces. Thus, the border opening issue represents not only an economic implement to forestall the rise of Kurdish separatism, but also offers an economic instrument to tackle the roots of Islamist extremism.
Turkish Instability Turns Genocide
Turkish instability is used as a justification for genocide- Armenia proves
Bloxham 5 [Donald, Professor of Modern History at Oxford University, Oxford University Press, The Great Game of Genocide, Pg 197, Google Books]
All of this chimed perfectly with the Kemalists' and the CUP's own anti Christian rhetoric, including their politico-economic assault on Christian merchants in the name of creating a Turkish-Muslim bourgeoisie. Furthermore it bore clear similarities to the language employed by some of the theorists of German penetration in the Near East in the 1890'sand later used by proponents of the Christian comprador thesis in the ranks of world systems analysis. Bristol's and Sherrill's sentiments belie the image of simple realists, resignedly acknowledging that temporary unpleasantness was a price worth paying for long term stability. They reveal instead mean actively endorsing a future in which the Ottoman Christians should be marginalized by any means necessary. The Christians of Istanbul were, in their eyes, not just a threat to Turkish stability by an accident of historical intermixing, they were a debilitating element, an alien parasite on a more intrinsically worth host society. And though the NEA could not be seen to endorse further Christian expulsions, the acceptance of forced assimilation as a way to solve the Armenian question was effectively adopted in American policy, while such refugee exoduses as there were presented no grounds for action.
Turkish Instability Turns Economy/Middle East Stability
Turkish stability provides avenues for regional stability and economic productivity
Salem 7/6 [Paul, Director of the Carnegie Middle East Center, 2010, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, http://carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=41113]
For Turkey to continue to grow, it needs access to as many markets as it can secure, and it needs stability and peace to interact with these places. This applies to its orientation towards Europe, which is its biggest market, but also its relationships in the north—towards the Balkans, Caucuses, and Black Sea area—and its relations with Iran, Iraq, Syria, and the Gulf countries in the Arab world. Ankara has annunciated this policy as a “zero problems with its neighbors” strategy and pursued this through vigorous diplomacy, particularly in the Middle East. It is actively trying to find a negotiated solution to the Iranian nuclear crisis, is working with the Iraqis and the Kurds to manage conflict in Iraq, and of course it played a leadership and mediation role between Israel and Syria just a couple of years ago. Ankara was also previously pushing for progress on the peace progress between Arabs and Israelis. So this is what Turkey has been pursuing over the last decade and a half.
Good relations with Turkey prevents a nuclear Iran
Grossman 7 (Marc Vice Chairman of the Cohen Group “Turkey: Key to US and EU Security and Defense Interests A Reflection,” pages: 116- 123)AQB
Leaders in the United States and Europe are today in danger of committing the strategic error of not paying enough attention to the future of Turkey. In the post-Cold War world, keeping Turkey anchored to the West is a strategic imperative because of what Turkey is -- a secular state both majority Muslim and democratic -- where it is -- at the crossroads of Europe, Eurasia and the Middle East and what it could become -- the antidote to the “clash of civilizations.” It is surely right that Crossroads focuses attention on the continuing importance of Turkey to the security of Europe and the United States. Turkey was key to the West’s collective security from the time it joined NATO in 1952 to the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. It is even more important today, as the West faces challenges as diverse and complicated as the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, the fight against terrorism and extremism, the need to spread the benefits of globalization and to create a secure and sustainable energy future. . Preoccupied with domestic politics and crises elsewhere, American and European leaders watch as an anti-American and anti-European psychology grows in Turkey that will have negative long-term strategic consequences for Turks and for the rest of the West. As this article will try to highlight in more detail, Turkey’s success as a pluralistic, free market, tolerant society greatly improves the West’s ability to meet global challenges. For example, any hope of engineering a soft landing in Iraq will be enhanced by Ankara’s cooperation and assistance. Turkey is a critical ally if we hope to stop Iran’s bomb. As NATO fights Al-Qaeda and a resurgent Taliban in Afghanistan, Turkey’s efforts can be even more important to this Alliance must-win. And if the US and the European Union hope to pursue serious energy security strategies, Turkey’s role in that sphere will also be crucial.
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