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A nationalist leader would try to expand Chinese territory.
Fravel 8 (M. Taylor, Assistant Prof of Political Science Security Studies, “China’s Territorial Future: Will Conquest Pay??”, MIT, page 10) MKB
Nationalism and territory have always been interwined. Nationalism can result in expansion for several reasons. First, nationalist leaders might pursue expansion to rescue co-ethnics who reside in neighboring countries. They may pursue these goals to achieve unification of an ethnic group or, when co-ethnics abroad face persecution, to defend kinsmen by seizing the territory that they occupy. Second, nationalist leaders might also pursue expansion to realize a given national identity, to right past injustices to the nation or regain lost status. Such incentives can be especially strong for countries with historical legacies of territorial loss, such as China.
AT: Link Turns – Domestic Ptix
Even if plan produces cooperation, there will be domestic political costs for Hu.
Paal – February 18, 2010
(Douglas H. Paal is vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “Obama Welcomes the Dalai Lama, Behind Closed Doors”, South China Morning Post, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=31002)
Proponents of a new bipolar order have made too much of the “G-2” concept, where the U.S. and China can be imagined to make the major decisions in the world together. Neither capital is ready for that. But on almost every major issue, from arms control to humanitarian assistance to peace keeping, there will not be progress if the U.S. and China cannot cooperate. For Chinese leaders, that will mean drawing a fine line between rhetoric and reality, limiting protests to gestures for their domestic audience even as they work with the United States on a number of fronts. For its part, the United States must maintain its principled commitment to human rights but also demonstrate some restraint on issues China considers “core interests.” President Obama must support the desires of disenfranchised groups for rights and representation, without raising unrealistic hopes, and recognizing that there are often real limits to what he can accomplish on their behalf. And he must appreciate that at times it is in everyone’s best interest -- even the disenfranchised themselves -- not to push China too far. His decision to meet the Dalai Lama quietly, as presidents did before 2007, suggests that he understands the balance.
**Aff Answers
Hu Reform: Won’t Pass
China is spooked by the European debt crisis, so it’s unlikely they will move on currency reform
Baston 10. (Andrew, writer for the Wall Street Journal. “Beijing Remains Resolute on Yuan.” The Wall Street Journal. June 19, 2010. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703438604575314103700266786.html). LRH.
BEIJING—China appears increasingly unlikely to move on its currency before the Group of 20 summit next weekend, a prospect that threatens to restart a poisonous cycle of increasing criticism from U.S. lawmakers and increasing defensiveness from Beijing. In recent days, Chinese officials have forcefully pushed back against international calls for the country to relax its tightly controlled currency and are trying to rule out any discussion of the issue when President Hu Jintao meets President Barack Obama and leaders of other major economies at the summit in Toronto. Briefing reporters in Beijing Friday on China's positions for the G-20 meeting, Vice Foreign Minister Cui Tiankai said the yuan "is China's currency and this is not an issue the international community should discuss." The shifting dynamics of China's currency policy, which economists until recently thought was ripe for change, have been driven mainly by the European debt crisis. Spooked by the turmoil in financial markets and the prospect of weaker global growth, China's leaders have repeatedly expressed concern about the strains in Europe. Their caution may well mean that the grace period the Obama administration tried to create for China will pass without a move.
China is refusing to be forced into currency reform agreements by other nations
Moxley 10. (Mitch, writer for the Inter Press Service. “U.S. Had the Last Word, But China Was the Winner at G20.” Inter Press Service. http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=52031). LRH.
Hu reiterated at the summit that China will not be bullied into relaxing currency controls. "It is appropriate to address trade frictions appropriately through dialogue and consultation and under the principle of mutual benefit and common development," Hu said in Toronto. For China, the biggest obstacle to global economic recovery is Western countries shielding their producers from competition from emerging economies. "We must take concrete actions to reject all forms of protectionism and unequivocally advocate and support free trade," Hu said. Indeed, reforming the global financial regulatory system was the central focus of conversation at the summit.
Currency reform won’t pass: China is refusing to make commitments
Stock Markets Review 10. (“World stock markets daily report Stock Markets Review.” June 28, 2010. http://www.stockmarketsreview.com/reports/world_stock_markets_daily_report_20100628_17635/). LRH.
G20/China: Addressing a reporter’s question about the CNY, President Obama said “A strong and durable recovery also requires countries not having an undue advantage. So we also discussed the need for currencies that are market driven … as I told President Hu yesterday, the US welcomes China’s decision to allow its currency to appreciate in response to market forces”. However, any reference to commitment to currency reform was dropped from the statement at China’s request (it noted that it was a sovereign matter).
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