122 World politics
and the future of politics
Eastern countries in 2004, which on the one hand watered down the cohesion of
the Union, was, on the other hand, a successful case of ‘structural foreign policy’,
the instrument mainly used by the EU, which lacks autonomous military power, for
conflict prevention through integration of neighbouring and economic incentives
to developing countries.
As early as 1946, Winston Churchill encouraged European leaders to ‘re-create
the European family in a regional structure called, it may be, the United States
of Europe’, however, not including the UK that had to remain the leader of the
British Commonwealth.
18
This process has granted the continent seventy years of
peace at the time of writing, with the appalling exception
of the Yugoslav wars of
1992–1995, as the EC/EU and its member states – along with the UN – proved
unable to stand firm against murderous warlords, and the attempted genocide of
Bosnian Muslims was stopped only by the military initiative taken by US President
Bill Clinton in August 1995.
The ‘success story EU’, which is undeniable, has blind spots and – what is more –
its future remains unpredictable in the midst of the revival of nationalism and pop-
ulism in several countries, first of all the now departing UK; this is aggravated by
the lack of leadership and vision in Brussels as well as in the national capitals under
post-recession
problems, the pressure of mass migration from the failed or semi-failed
states on the southern Mediterranean rim and Africa, lastly by the new role played by
Russia and possibly the USA under the Trump presidency. Nonetheless, the European
process remains to date the most advanced case of regionalism as continental pacifica-
tion via economic and political integration, which makes it an unprecedented quasi-
polity, far away from both world government and traditional local confederation.
Even if the centre of world politics and economy has moved towards the east, the lot
of the European Union in the coming years and decades, now endangered by a num-
ber of
external and internal factors, will impact heavily – positively or negatively – on
world peace and the shaping of political structures around the planet.
* * *
The European experiment is important also from a theoretical point of view. Along
with other cases of institutionalised interstate cooperation, it disproves the neo-
realist fixation on the nation state as the sole substantial actor of international
politics, to which alone human groups in search of protection and interest repre-
sentation can turn to; this actor, driven only by its momentary strategy of utility
maximization and relying only on its own strength, makes anarchy the permanent
axis of international relations. Others oppose that international anarchy is reduced,
though not eliminated, by the frames of formal and informal cooperation rules
(also called by some international regimes) on which states
agree for the advantages
deriving from it and to which they mostly stick to instead of constantly freeriding,
because their expectations and action patterns are more and more shaped by those
rules and institutions. This
neo-institutionalism in international relations (some add
‘liberal’, to mark its difference from realist foreign policy as exemplified by Henry
The states
123
Kissinger or, on a lower level, the neocons around George W. Bush) has been able
to explain phenomena such as the European process or the spread of political
and economic international institutions much better than classical realism or neo-
realism did.
19
It is not a vindication of idealism,
scil. of norm-driven behaviour for
the sake of justice, in international politics, but it fosters
understanding and stimu-
lates the forces that may shape state behaviour along lines of peace and cooperation
to everyone’s advantage. While states are not on their way to becoming angels, they
have made some progress in understanding that wars such as the Second World War,
let alone nuclear war, are too costly, while regulated coexistence and cooperation
bring more advantages than an unattainable military victory. Essential to this pos-
ture is the notion that world politics is not necessarily a zero-sum game, in which
the gains of the winner are all made of the losses of the losers, because
cooperative
interaction can make all parties win something. States are not dropping
self-interest
as guidelines, they are reinterpreting it in a way adequate to the new circumstances
of world politics, which will be further examined in the next chapter.
Notes
1 Plural of
polis.
2 There is a nuance of complacency in the similar English saying ‘all is fair in love and war’.
The panhellenic Olympic games however took place in any case, interrupting the state
of war.
3 Two later masterpieces of European literature contain vivid pictures of episodes from
that Great War: Friedrich Schiller’s (1759–1805)
Wallenstein trilogy (the political, reli-
gious and personal intrigues behind the battles) and Alessandro Manzoni’s (1785–1873)
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