Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings



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Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings ( PDFDrive )(1)

 
Learning from Experience 
2 4 7 
“three-year rule,” I might have been less firm in holding my own 
Motorola intact through a period of poor market action and of some 
client criticism. 
TO EVERY RULE, THERE ARE EXCEPTIONS… 
BUT NOT MANY
Have I ever sold stock because of this three-year rule and then later 
wished I had not made this sale because of a subsequent major rise in
the stock? Actually, there have only been a relatively small number of 
times when I have made a sale triggered by this three-year rule and 
nothing else. This is not because there have been so few times that pur-
chases made by me have failed to provide the major rise which was my
purpose in initiating them. In the majority of such cases, further 
insights about the company opened up as I continued to investigate 
additional aspects of the situation, and these insights caused me to
change my views about it. However, in those relatively few cases where 
it was the three-year rule and only that which caused me to sell, I can-
not recall a single case where subsequent market action caused me to 
wish I had held on to the shares. 
Have I ever violated my own three-year rule? The answer is yes, 
exactly once, and this was many years later, toward the middle of the 
1970’s. Three years before, I had acquired a moderately substantial
block of shares in the Rogers Corporation. Rogers had expertise in 
certain areas of polymer chemistry, and I believed they were on the
way to developing various semiproprietary families of products 
which would show quite dramatic increase in sales and not just for a 
year or two, but for many years. Yet, at the end of three years the stock 
was down, and so were the earnings of the company. Several influ- 
ences were at work, however, which made me feel this was one time
to ignore my own standards and to make this “the exception that
proves the rule.” One of these influences was my strong feeling about 
Norman Greenman, the company’s president. I was convinced he had
unusual ability, the determination to see these matters through, as
well as something else which I consider of great value to an intelli- 
gent investor: the kind of honesty that caused him not to conceal
repeated bad news that could not fail but be embarrassing for him to 
tell. He saw to it that those interested in his company understood all 



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