Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings



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Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings ( PDFDrive )(1)

PATIENCE AND PERFORMANCE
With this in mind, I established what I called my three-year rule. I have 
repeated again and again to my clients that when I purchase something 
for them, not to judge the results in a matter of a month or a year, but


 
Learning from Experience 
2 4 5 
to allow me a three-year period. If I have not produced worthwhile 
results for them in that time, they should fire me. Whether I have been 
successful in the first year or unsuccessful can be as much a matter of
luck as anything else. In my management of individual stocks over all 
these years I have followed the same rule, only once having made an 
exception. If I have a deep conviction about a stock that has not per-
formed by the end of three years, I will sell it. If this same stock has per- 
formed worse rather than better than the market for a year or two, I 
won’t like it. However, assuming that nothing has happened to change 
my original view of the company, I will continue to hold it for three 
years. 
In the second half of 1955, I bought a substantial number of shares 
in two companies in which I had never previously invested. They proved 
to be almost a classic example of the advantages and problems of invest-
ing contrary to the currently accepted view of the financial community. 
Looking back, 1955 could be considered the beginning of a period of 
almost fifteen years that might be termed the “first Golden Age of elec-
tronic stocks.” I am using the adjective “first” so that there can be no 
confusion in anyone’s mind with what I believe will be considered the 
Golden Age for semiconductor stocks, something which I suspect lies 
ahead of us and will be associated with the 1980’s. At any rate, in 1955 
and immediately thereafter, the financial community was about to be 
dazzled by a whole series of electronic companies which were to show 
gains that by 1969 had reached truly spectacular proportions. IBM, Texas
Instruments, Varian, Litton Industries and Ampex are a few that come to 
mind. However, in 1955, all of that lay ahead. At that time, with the 
exception of IBM, all these stocks were considered highly speculative 
and beneath the notice of conservative investors or big institutions. 
However, sensing part of what might lie ahead, I acquired what for me 
were rather sizable positions in both Texas Instruments and Motorola 
during the latter parts of 1955. 
Today Texas Instruments is the largest world-wide producer of 
semiconductors, with Motorola running a close second. At that time, 
Motorola’s position in the semiconductor industry was insignificant. It 
was no factor at all in causing me to buy the shares. Rather, I became 
impressed both with the people and with Motorola’s dominant posi- 
tion in the mobile communications business, where an enormous 
potential seemed to lie; whereas the financial community was valuing
it as just another television and radio producer. Motorola’s subsequent



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