SELF-ASSESSMENT TASK
10.1
At the start of 2014 India was experiencing a decline
in
its economic growth rate, a rise in its infl ation
rate and a decline in its current account defi cit. Th
e
IMF recommended that the Indian government and
central bank should raise interest rates, reduce the
budget defi cit and improve bank supervision and
invest more in infrastructure.
1
Explain why a decline in a country’s
economic
growth rate might be expected to reduce rather
than increase its infl ation rate.
2
Explain whether increasing interest rates would
suggest that economic growth or infl ation is the
top macroeconomic objective.
3
Discuss what eff ect an increase in government
spending on the country’s infrastructure may
have on the budget defi cit.
The relationship between the
internal and external value
of money
Th
e internal value of a country’s currency and its external
value may be closely connected. Th
e internal value will fall
as a result of infl ation. Each unit of the currency will buy
less in the domestic market.
If the internal value of a country’s money falls as
a result of a rise in its infl ation rate above that of rival
countries, demand for its products will fall.
As a result,
demand for the country’s currency will fall as foreigners
buy fewer of the country’s exports, while the supply of the
currency on the foreign exchange market will rise as more
imports are purchased. Th
e reduced demand and higher
supply of the currency will cause a depreciation, as shown
in
Figure 10.1
A change in the external value of the currency – the
exchange rate – will, in turn, aff ect the internal purchasing
power of a country’s money. A fall in the
exchange rate will
raise the price of a country’s imports in terms of the home
currency. Th
is will directly and indirectly reduce the value of
the country’s money. Each unit of the currency will now buy
fewer of the now more expensive fi nished imported products.
For example, originally US$1 may exchange for 8 Argentine
pesos. If the value of the US dollar then falls to 6 Argentine
pesos, an Argentine import priced at 480
Argentine pesos,
will rise in price from US$60 to US$80. Purchasing power
may also be reduced as a result of the increase in the price
of imported raw materials and the reduction in competitive
pressure, driving up the prices of domestically produced
products. So the internal and external values of a country’s
money tend to be directly related,
with a fall in the internal
value leading to a fall in the external value and vice versa.
TOP TIP
Remember that, while the internal and external values
of a currency are likely to be connected, this may
not always be the case. For example, a country may
experience
inflation, but if it has a fixed exchange rate
or if its inflation rate is below that of rival countries, its
external value may not even fall. Indeed, it may rise.
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