Some Big-Ass Losers Here
Retail is a much, much bigger business than media or telco, and Amazon’s
triumph will mean a lot of losers—not just individual companies, but entire
industry sectors.
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,
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Farfan, Barbara. “2016 US Retail Industry Overview.” The Balance.
“Value of the Entertainment and Media Market in the United States from 2011 to 2020 (in
Billion U.S. Dollars).” Statista.
“Telecommunications Business Statistics Analysis, Business and Industry Statistics.” Plunkett
Research.
Grocery
Obviously, grocery is one of those doomed sectors. It had it coming. This, the
largest consumer sector in America ($800 billion
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), has been where
innovation goes to die.
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Same bad lighting, same depressed workforce,
same impossibly frustrating experience in finding my Chobani yogurt as I
search from aisle to aisle. Amazon instead offers an online grocery solution
with Amazon Fresh and cashier-less grocery shopping with Amazon Go,
which debuted in December 2016.
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In June 2017, Amazon acquired 460
stores in wealthy neighborhoods by way of Whole Foods. While Amazon and
Whole Foods account for only 3.5 percent of U.S. grocery spending, the
cocktail of high-end grocery and high-tech delivery solutions bodes a
significant disruption in the sector. On the day the acquisition was
announced, Kroger stock was down 9.24 percent; United Natural Foods, an
organic distributor, was down 11 percent; and Target 8 percent.
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Amazon
will eat a lot of lunches.
Restaurants will suffer too, as meal prep at home will be made easier by
lightning-fast delivery. And yes, delivery services will take a hit, like
Instacart, whose spokesperson said that with the Whole Foods acquisition,
Amazon had “declared war on every supermarket and corner store in
America.”
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Walmart
The biggest loser? Easy: Walmart. Walmart’s e-commerce growth hurdle
reaches beyond Seattle: a workforce that’s both underpaid and lacking the
skills to close the multichannel circle. Many of their customers are that group
you’ve wondered about, who don’t have broadband or a smartphone. The
wealthiest man in the twentieth century mastered the art of minimum-wage
employees selling you stuff. The wealthiest man of the twenty-first century is
mastering the science of zero-wage robots selling you stuff.
The same day that Amazon bought Whole Foods, Walmart bought
Bonobos,
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an online menswear retailer that had acquired brick-and-mortar
stores. Bonobos has a strong multichannel model—customers are fitted on
site, and clothes are later mailed. Similar to the Jet acquisition, Walmart
hopes to derive e-commerce ethos from the smaller retailer, so as to compete
against Amazon. Unlikely that Bonobos will make much of a difference,
given the scale of the juggernaut.
Walmart is the largest grocery retailer in the United States, and the Whole
Foods acquisition is a major escalation in its grocery wars with Amazon.
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Walmart has ten times the number of grocery stores than Whole Foods, but
Amazon’s logistics are likely to outsmart it.
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