IV.
MANAGING RISKS TO THE CPF PROGRAM
73.
Overall risk to the CPF program is rated as substantial. Three of eight risk categories
are rated substantial―political and governance, macroeconomic, and institutional capacity for
implementation and sustainability―and two are rated high: fiduciary and environmental and
social.
74.
Political will to undertake the structural reforms needed to open the economy to
private investment is a key prerequisite for effective implementation of the CPF program.
The needed reforms will confront longstanding vested interests in maintaining the status quo,
while the authorities’ commitment to increase the economy’s market orientation and the role of
the private sector remains untested. In addition to monitoring progress together with other
development partners and stakeholders, this risk would be managed if not partly mitigated by
providing advice on the sequencing and pace of reforms, as well as hands-on support to address
capacity issues through technical assistance.
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