Uzbekistan Quality Job Creation as a Cornerstone for Sustainable Economic Growth
Migration has led to a loss of skilled workers and, while it has helped
families escape poverty, the majority of remittances are used for
unproductive spending.
If the remittances were to be invested, they would
support long-term economic growth, rather than just short-term expenditure.
Studies suggest that workers’ migration can create both positive and negative
impacts (Table 3.8). Remittances of migrant Uzbek workers contribute to
the country’s overall economic development by boosting expenditure and
improving the housing and living conditions of remaining families. However,
recent work suggests that migrants’ remittances are most often spent on
household improvements, which are seen to increase the social status of a
family, rather than on productive investments or their children’s education,
which would have a greater effect on longer-term growth (Ahunov et al. 2015).
Table 3.8: Positive and Negative Outcomes of Migration
Positive
Negative
• Remittances stimulate consumption
spending on health, durable goods,
weddings, and home improvements.
• Remittances may improve household
welfare and human capital, and
reduce poverty;
• Remittances may improve household
food security and nutrition (especially
for poor households).
• Remittances may promote financial
sector development.
• Migrant workers in receiving countries
spur economic growth by filling
vacant jobs and addressing labor
shortages.
• Migrant workers may learn new skills.
• Migration may ease the burden on
public transfer programs.
• Loss of labor force (e.g., negative
effect on crop income).
• Socio-psychological problems (e.g.,
deterioration of the family, depression,
broken families, etc.).
• Abuse (forced labor, low wage
compared to locals) and lack of access
to social security measures and free
medical services.
• Greater exposure to sexually
transmitted and other diseases.
• Reduced labor supply of family
members left behind.
• Remittances may not improve the
human capital of children left behind.
• Strong remittance inflows may cause
appreciation of the real exchange rate
and damage the competitiveness of
sectors producing tradables such as
manufactures.
• Large swings in remittance inflows
may bring macroeconomic volatility.
• Remittances may reduce the
government’s incentive to stay fiscally
healthy and increase public debt.
Sources: Malyuchenko (2015); Somach and Rubin (2010); Smolak, et al. (2015); Ahunov, et al. (2015); Danzer and
Ivaschenko (2010); Betti and Lundgren (2012); Justino and Shemyakina (2012); Kroeger and Anderson (2014);
Chakraborty, Mirkasimov, and Steiner (2014); Atamanov and Van den Berg (2012).
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