process is already under way, with the establishment of an American Empire –
Chapter 12 examines the arguments for and against this thesis.
Recasting these points, the exercise of influence is the characteristic way in
which states relate to one another because we have neither a world
government (a world-wide source of legitimate authority) nor a world empire
(a world-wide source of effective control). In the absence of these two polar
positions, only relationships of influence remain. Of course,
in actual prac-
tice, there may be some relationships which approach the two poles. In an
elaborate military alliance such as NATO, the governing council, the Supreme
Allied Military Commander in Europe (SACEUR), and, in some circum-
stances, the president of the United States, could be said to exercise a degree
of legitimate authority, having been authorized by the members of NATO
to act on their behalf. However, this authority is tenuous and could be
withdrawn
at any time, albeit at some cost. Conversely, the degree of influ-
ence exercised by the former Soviet Union over some of its ‘allies’ in Eastern
Europe at times came close to actual control, although even at the height of
Stalinism the freedom of action of the weakest of the People’s Republics was
greater than that of the Baltic States which were incorporated into the Soviet
Union in 1940. Sometimes freedom of action may only mean the freedom to
give way to the inevitable, but
even this can be meaningful; in the pre-war
crises of 1938 and 1939, neither Czechoslovakia nor Poland had any real
freedom, apart from that of determining the circumstances under which they
would fall into Nazi control, but the way in which they exercised this final
freedom had a real influence on the lives of their populations.
The relationship between influence and
power is more complicated.
Power is one of those terms in political discourse that are so widely used as
to have become almost devoid of meaning; the suggestion that its use should
be
banned is impracticable, but understandable. Common-sense usage of
the term power suggests that it is quite closely related to influence – a
‘powerful person’ is an influential person – but there are forms of influence
that do not seem to rely on power as the term is usually understood, and
there are forms of power that are only indirectly connected to influence. This
is a particularly important relationship for a state-centric, especially a real-
ist, view of the world, and, unlike the distinctions between influence and
authority or control, this matter is too sensitive to be determined by defini-
tion. It is only by generating a quite sophisticated
understanding of power
that the realist view of the world can be comprehended – but, equally, such
an understanding is required if realism is to be transcended.
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