To enlighten investors on the impact of these breakthroughs and the opportunities they should create, we began publishing Big Ideas in 2017. This annual research report seeks to highlight



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ARK–Invest BigIdeas 2021

And Convenience
Drone Delivery Costs At Scale Relative to Competitor Costs Today
Theoretical 
eVTOL
2
Personal Car
$-
$50
$100
$150
0
50
100
150
Orlando To Tampa
Cost vs. Time
Time (Minutes)
Co
st 
(U
SD
)
Orlando To Tampa: Cost vs. Time
Personal Car 
to Pharmacy
Mail 
Order
Drone 
Delivery
$-
$1
$2
$3
$4
1
10
100
1000
10000
Time (Minutes, Log Scale)
Co
st 
(U
SD
)
Pharmaceutical Delivery/Pickup: Cost vs. Time
Amazon 
Prime Air
Drone
FedEx 
Ground
Bike 
Courier
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
1
100
10000
Minutes (Log Scale)
Co
st 
(U
SD
)
Parcel Delivery: 5 lbs. 10 Miles: Cost vs. Time
Humans
Piloted 
Drones
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
10
Time (Hours)
Co
st 
(T
ho
us
an
d
s,
 U
SD
)
Bridge Inspection: Cost vs. Time



Forecasts are inherently limited and cannot be relied upon. 
Source: ARK Investment Management LLC, 2020 based on data sourced from “Pitney Bowes Parcel Shipping Index Reports Global Parcel Shipping Reaches $279 Billion in Revenue.” Pitney Bowes, 28 Aug. 2018, https://arkinv.st/2QjSeSQ; “D
ata and Research on Digital for Business Professionals.” EMarketer, EMarketer, https://arkinv.st/2trGQeE; Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods in December 2017, National Bureau of Statistics of China, 25 Jan. 2018, https://arkinv.st/36mBK
z6; “Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services by Kind of Business: Retail Sales by Kind of Business, Millions of Dollars, Seasonally Adjusted.” FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://arkinv.st/2ZJWSN4.
75
Drone Delivery

COVID-19 accelerated e-commerce 
experimentation and adoption with 
contactless drone deliveries.

ARK estimates that at some point during 
the next five years, drones will deliver 
more than 20% of parcel shipments.

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