Thinking, Fast and Slow

see also
probability
preference reversals; unjust
premonition
, use of word
premortem
pretentiousness language
pricing policies
priming; anchoring as
t="-5%">
Princeton University
probability; base rates in, 
see
base rates; decision weights and,
see
decision weights; definitions of; and disciplining intuition;
less-is-more pattern and; Linda problem and; overestimation of;
plausibility and; and predicting by representativeness; prior,
insensitivity to; professional stereotypes and; of rare events, 
see
rare events; representativeness and, 
see
representativeness;
similarity and; subjective; as sum-like variable; 
see also
predictions and forecasts
probability neglect
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
professional stereotypes
professorial candidates
prospect theory; in Albert and Ben problem; blind spots of;
cumulative; decision weights and probabilities in; fourfold pattern

---

in; frames and; graph of losses and gains in; loss aversion in;
reference points in
“Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk”
(Kahneman and Tversky)
prototypes
psychiatric patients
psychological immune system
psychology, teaching
psychopathic charm
psychophysics
psychotherapists
pundits; 
see also
expert intuition punishments: altruistic; rewards
and; self-administered
pupil dilation
questionnaire and gift experiments
questions; substitution of, 
see
substitution
Rabin, Matthew
radiologists
rafters, skilled
rail projects
randomness and chance; misconceptions of 
Random Walk
Down Wall Street, A
(Malkiel)
rare events; overestimation of; regret and
rational-agent model
rationality
Rationality and the Reflective Mind
(Stanovich)
">rats
Reagan, Ronald
reciprocal priming
recognition
recognition-primed decision (RPD) model
Redelmeier, Don
reference class forecasting
regression to the mean; causal interpretations and; correlation
and; difficulty in grasping; two-systems view of
“Regression towards Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature” (Galton)
regret

---

religion
remembering self
Remote Association Test (RAT)
reorganizations in companies
repetition
representativeness; base rates and; 
see also
base rates; in
Linda problem; predicting by; professional stereotypes and; sins
of; in Tom W problem
research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in
resemblance; in predictions
resilience
responsibility
retrievability of instances
reversals; unjust
rewards; self-administered
Rice, Condoleezza
risk assessment; aggregation and; broad framing in; decision
weights in, 
see
decision weights; denominator neglect and; by
experts; and format of risk expression; fourfold pattern in; for
health risks; hindsight bias and; laws and regulations governing;
loss aversion in; narrow framing in; optimistic bias and; policies
for; possibility effect and; precautionary principle and; probability
neglect and; public policies and; small risks and; of technologies;
terrorism and; 
see also
gambles
risk aversion
risk seeking
“Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making,
The” (Dawes)
Rosett, Richard
Rosenzweig, Philip
Royal Dutch Shell
Royal Institution
Rozin, Paul
< Philip
Rumsfeld, Donald
Russell Sage Foundation
Russia
Saddam Hussein
sadness

---

safety; health risks and; health violation penalties and;
precautionary principle and
samples, sampling: accidents of; and bias of confidence over
doubt; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; size of; small,
exaggerated faith in
Samuelson, Paul
San Francisco Exploratorium
Savage, Jimmie
Save More Tomorrow
Schelling, Thomas
Schkade, David
school size
Schwarz, Norbert
Schweitzer, Maurice