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UNCERTAINTY, RISK, AND LIFE CYCLE SELECTION



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PMBOK Guide (6th Edition)

2.4 UNCERTAINTY, RISK, AND LIFE CYCLE SELECTION

Some projects have considerable uncertainty around project requirements and how to fulfill those requirements using 

current knowledge and technology. These uncertainties can contribute to high rates of change and project complexity. 

These characteristics are illustrated in Figure 2-5.

As project uncertainty increases, so too does the risk of rework and the need to use a different approach. To mitigate 

the impact of these risks, teams select life cycles that allow them to tackle projects with high amounts of uncertainty 

via small increments of work.

Teams can verify their work when they use small increments and can change what they do next. When teams deliver 

small increments, they are better able to understand the true customer requirements faster and more accurately than 

with a static written specification.




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