The McGraw-Hill Series Economics essentials of economics brue, McConnell, and Flynn Essentials of Economics


(5.3.10) The interpretation of this confidence interval is



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(5.3.10)
The interpretation of this confidence interval is:
Given the confidence coefficient of
95 percent, in 95 out of 100 cases intervals like Equation 5.3.9 will contain the true 
β
2
. But,
as warned earlier, we cannot say that the probability is 95 percent that the specific interval
in Eq. (5.3.9) contains the true 
β
2
because this interval is now fixed and no longer random;
therefore 
β
2
either lies in it or it does not: The probability that the specified fixed interval
includes the true 
β
2
is therefore 1 or 0.
Following Eq. (5.3.7), and the data in Table 3.2, the reader can easily verify that the
95 percent confidence interval for 
β
1
for our example is 

1
.
8871

β
1

1
.
8583
(5.3.11)
Again you should be careful in interpreting this confidence interval. In 95 out of 100
cases, intervals like Equation 5.3.11 will contain the true 
β
1
; the probability that this par-
ticular fixed interval includes the true 
β
1
is either 1 or 0.
Confidence Interval for 
β
1
and 
β
2
Simultaneously
There are occasions when one needs to construct a
joint confidence interval
for
β
1
and
β
2
such that with a confidence coefficient (1

α
), say, 95 percent, that interval includes
β
1
and
β
2
simultaneously. Since this topic is involved, the interested reader may want to consult
appropriate references.
5
We will touch on this topic briefly in Chapters 8 and 10.

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