Qatar Economic Outlook 2021 - 2023
28
Global Policy Related to
Commodity Markets
As mentioned earlier at the beginning of the
report, administrative measures to contain
Covid-19 during 2020, including preventive
and
precautionary
measures,
while
mustering the health system’s capabilities to
treat patients with the virus, contributed to:
(1) the closure of many economic and social
business activities, which reduced the supply
and demand for goods and services, (2) the
disruption of supply chains at the global level,
and (3) the disruption of internal
transportation, which led to a slowdown in
business. On the other hand, the requirement
to work-from-home increased the use of local
and
international
telecommunication
technologies. Thus, one of the most
prominent results of these repercussions was
the global layoff of millions of mostly blue-
collar or casual workers, which increased the
unemployment rate around the world, and
also contributed to the creation of a collective
reluctance to engage in activities that
required significant face-to-face interactions
and connection, especially service sector
jobs, transport, as well as wholesale and
retail trade activities.
In order to confront such challenges, many
governments around the world have
implemented an integrated package of
expansionary economic policies (financial
and monetary), the most important among
which are: increasing government spending,
including providing financial incentives to
individuals and companies, reducing taxes,
reducing the bank interest rate, expanding
the use of the monetary tool to quantitative
easing (QE) by central banks (in particular, in
advanced and emerging economies). The
central banks allow themselves to use QE
tool to buy securities (such as stocks, bonds,
and treasury assets) from the government or
commercial banks with the aim of increasing
the money supply, which leads to lower
interest rates because it provides easy
money, which then reduces the returns of
investors and savers in money market
accounts, certificates of deposit, treasury
bonds, and corporate bonds, forcing the
owners of such funds to search for rewarding
investments, even if they have high-risk
outcome - which, in principle, will increase
production and create new jobs, thus helping
the economy move forward.
While the new Omicron variant is pushing a
number of countries to close borders, and
introduces further uncertainties, it is
necessary to focus on what has been
achieved so far from the accumulated
experience in treating infected patients,
administering measures necessary to limit
the spread of the virus, and implementing
expansionary economic policies to sustain
economic activities, which all contributed to
expediting the global economic recovery: (1)
driven by growth in aggregate demand for
both consumption and investment resulting
from a gradual return to normalcy, and (2)
supported by the availability of domestic
liquidity and the continuation of expansionary
economic policies.
However, the continued slowdown in the
production and supply of goods and services
to meet aggregate demand due to ongoing
disruptions caused by measures to contain
mutations of COVID-19, continues to be
evidenced by rising unemployment rates and
the strangulation of supply chains and
bottlenecks in ports, because social
distancing measures compelled a reduction
in workforce, added to which some
companies used ports as free warehouse
space due to logistics uncertainties that
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