Qatar Economic Outlook 2021 - 2023
iv
Introduction
A decade has passed since the publication of
the first issue in 2011 of the State of Qatar's
Economic Outlook Report. The QEO is
concerned with
monitoring economic and
social developments in Qatar, and the
nation’s future prospects in response to
developments all over the world and at all
levels. It is surely evident, then, that this
current issue (13)
is published under
economic and social conditions that are
markedly different from the first issue,
underscored by the developments, events,
and facts that the world has gone through
during the past decade, some of which had a
significant impact on changing the business
environment in the State of Qatar both
directly and indirectly.
The most important
indirect effects can be summarized as
follows:
1. The selection of Qatar in 2011 to host the
2022 FIFA World Cup led to the influx of
expatriate workers, amounting to at least
one million workers, in order to work for the
implementation of investment projects in
the field of infrastructure, including the
requisite sports facilities.
2. Worldwide developments in information
technology
have led to change in many
modern means of production, which have
had a large impact on the structure of the
economies of the world, including Qatar’s
economy, which witnessed a change in the
contributions of its sectors.
3. Global developments in the management
of planning and development of human,
economic, and environmental resources
have led Qatar to align its economic,
social, and environmental policies to keep
pace with the requirements of achieving
the SDGs for 2030 (Agenda for
Sustainable Development) as well as
alignment with the 2015
Paris Climate
Accords (the “Paris Agreement”).
4. The composition of the global as well as
Qatar trade’s has been buffeted by the
negative consequences of heightened
protectionist trade policies and barriers,
along with various international trade
disputes, since the Brexit referendum of
June 2016,
and the later price war
between China and the United States
starting in March 2018, as well as the
replacement of the renegotiated North
American Free Trade Agreement with the
United States – Mexico – Canada in
September 2018.
As for the direct impacts, they can be broadly
categorized as follows:
1. The change in the international commodity
price-setting mechanism, which is now
largely subject
to global supply and
demand forces, including food, oil, and gas
prices - especially during the period (2014-
2020) - led to a decline in Qatari export
revenues, but at the same time, Qatar
benefited from the decline in the value of
food imports, which led to a decrease in
the inflation index.
2. The positive results of the measures taken
to confront the negative effects of the
2017-2020
blockade helped the Qatari
economy to increase the local production
of many food commodities, and even
succeeded in pushing the Qatari economy
to become more independent in air and
sea transport, finding new shipping lanes,
and expanding export and import ports.
3. The Covid-19 crisis and the accompanying
containment measures had an impact that
still reverberates globally, in the decline in
the productivity of many economic
activities, especially among non-oil
activities.
Contrary to
the usual practice in the
preparation of previous reports that covered