Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
McDowell, Bennett, 1957–
The art of trading: combining the science of technical analysis with the art of reality based
trading / Bennett McDowell.
p.
cm. – (Wiley trading series)
Includes index.
ISBN 978-0-470-18772-2 (cloth/dvd)
1. Investment analysis.
2. Speculation.
3. Stocks.
I. Title.
HG4529.M385
2008
332.63
2042–dc22
2007049357
Printed in the United States of America.
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Disclaimer: This eBook does not include ancillary media that was packaged with the
printed version of the book.
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For my children, Heather Frances and Brady Bennett,
with love and affection.
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Contents
Foreword
ix
Preface
xi
Acknowledgments
xiii
Diclaimer
xv
Introduction
xvii
PART I
Reality
1
CHAPTER 1
It’s All About Reality
3
CHAPTER 2
The Reality of Price and Volume
7
CHAPTER 3
Managing Risk: Always Set a Stop-Loss Exit
13
CHAPTER 4
If It Sounds Too Good to Be True . . .
19
CHAPTER 5
Personal Methods to Increase Trading
Success
23
CHAPTER 6
Identify Your Personal ART Profile
27
PART II Art
39
CHAPTER 7
Design Your Business Plan
41
CHAPTER 8
Selecting a Financial Market
47
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CONTENTS
CHAPTER 9
Selecting a Time Frame
55
CHAPTER 10
Selecting an ART Platform, Broker, and
Data Feed
59
CHAPTER 11
Psychology and the Trader’s Mind-Set
63
CHAPTER 12
Artistic Simplicity
67
CHAPTER 13
The Art of Paper-Trading
71
PART III Science and Math
75
CHAPTER 14
Calculating Proper Trade Size
77
CHAPTER 15
Other Formulas and Recipes
83
CHAPTER 16
The Human Brain
87
PART IV ART System Basics
91
CHAPTER 17
ART Is the Total Solution
93
CHAPTER 18
Pyramid Trading Points (P and MP)
97
CHAPTER 19
Market Truths: Price Bars and Volume
115
CHAPTER 20
ART Reversal Bar Signals (1B and 2B)
121
CHAPTER 21
Trend-Trading Rules
135
CHAPTER 22
Countertrend-Trading Rules
141
CHAPTER 23
Scalping Rules
147
PART V
Advanced Techniques
155
CHAPTER 24
When to Use Advanced Techniques
157
CHAPTER 25
Scaling Out and Scaling In
161
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Contents
vii
CHAPTER 26
How to Trade Bracketed Markets
167
CHAPTER 27
Software Optimization and Average True
Range (ATR)
179
CHAPTER 28
Stop and Reverse (SAR)
183
CHAPTER 29
Higher-Time-Frame Filter
187
CHAPTER 30
Other Filter Techniques
205
CHAPTER 31
Elliott Wave—Ungrounded Assessment
215
CHAPTER 32
Other Ungrounded Assessments
223
Epilogue
231
About the DVD
233
APPENDIX A
ART Software Quick-Start
237
APPENDIX B
ART Tips
241
APPENDIX C
ART Software Technical Support
243
APPENDIX D
Resources
247
Glossary
263
About the Author
285
Index
287
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Foreword
T
his is not your ordinary “get rich quick” book about trading the stock
market. Rather, it is a guide to a multimedia approach to learning
and trading, using the Applied Reality Trading
R
(ART
R
) method of
trading. This book and the accompanying DVD explain the concepts and
methodology. In addition, the purchase of this book includes a one-month
time frame in which to actually learn to trade the system and apply it in real
time. This is done by including the ART software for one month, including
access to live streaming data and access to a few, designated brokerage
firms that can trade directly through the software. In essence, everything
that the reader needs—for learning and for seeing how the system works
in actual markets—is included with this book.
The ART trading methodology is built on software recognition of sev-
eral time-tested patterns that can be easily identified for the user. While
they are called specific names in the software, these are essentially break-
outs and reversals—the meat and potatoes of technical trading. The chart
patterns identified can be applied to any type of bar chart—daily, five-
minute, weekly, and so on. Moreover, they can be applied to stocks, fu-
tures, indices, and forex—or any other market that can be charted.
What separates this methodology from many other computer-
generated trading systems is that this is
not
a 100 percent mechanical
“black box” system. Rather, this book (and the multimedia associated with
it) teach the individual how to apply the various trading signals to the style
of trading with which he feels most comfortable. Position traders can trade
the
trend
signals from the software, while short-term swing traders may
prefer to take minor signals generated along the way—even trading
within
a trend, if desired. If you are uncertain which trading style might best suit
you, the “ART Profile” exercise in this book will aid you in determining the
style best suited to your personality.
Risk control is stressed throughout—determining effective position
size, setting stop-loss exits, and more. Exact entry and exit points are given
with the signals, so that you can judge your risk beforehand, and therefore
determine position size as well. One of the many unique features is that
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x
FOREWORD
stops are based on market conditions (chart patterns and volatility) as op-
posed to an arbitrary dollar amount. Therefore, the stops are more logical
in terms of market mechanics, which prevents one from being stopped out
prematurely, as might happen with “percentage risk” stops.
Finally, the techniques can be applied to option trading as well. I have
long espoused the idea that any successful stock trading technique can be
translated into a profitable option trading strategy, as long as one acts ra-
tionally in choosing the expiration month and striking price of the options
to be purchased.
This multimedia approach to learning may be new to many readers, but
the concepts and techniques associated with the ART software are well-
suited to such an approach, and the benefits should be great for those who
are willing to embrace the ART methodology and fit it into their “trading
personality.”
—L
AWRENCE
G. M
C
M
ILLAN
Author,
McMillan on Options
,
2nd Edition
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Preface
T
his book,
The ART
R
of Trading,
is a unique opportunity for you, the
trader or investor, to benefit from four fabulous things:
1.
A sound trading system and software (Applied Reality Trading or ART)
that gives you high probability entries, exits, and risk control—you get
a free 30-day trial of the ART software with this book
2.
Live streaming data direct from the markets to provide you with the
truth and the reality of the financial markets—you get a free 30-day
trial of live data with this book
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