Probability of a Fuzzy Event
At this point, we can calculate the probability for the fuzzy event A by using the takeover prices as the basis to
correspond the probabilities in the probability distribution and the degrees of membership in A. In other
words, the degrees of membership, 0.7, 1, and 0.5 are treated as having the probabilities 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2,
respectively. But we want the probability of the fuzzy event A, which we calculate as the expected degree of
membership under the probability distribution we are using.
Our calculation gives the following:
0.7 x 0.3 + 1 x 0.5 + 0.5 x 0.2 = 0.21 + 0.5 + 0.1 = 0.81
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C++ Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic:Preface
Probability of a Fuzzy Event
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